xgEdge

Club

Burnley 2025/2026

Premier League 2025/2026 →

Burnley right now

Burnley are having a difficult season and sit 19th in Premier League. A -43.42 xG difference sits behind 22 points from 38 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have slightly outscored their 32.15 xG (+5.85), while conceding slightly fewer than the 75.57 xG against them (−0.57). Their attack rates 20th of 20 in Premier League for the chances it creates against an average opponent.

How Burnley compares

Open the match page for Wolverhampton

Last result Premier League · Sun 24/05

Home Wolverhampton

1:1 Draw

Expected goals
0.98 – 2.09
xG difference
-1.11

A point despite being out-created

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sat 16/08 Sun 24/05 Sat 16/08 Tottenham Hotspur · Expected goals 0.94 Sat 23/08 Sunderland · Expected goals 1.00 Sat 30/08 Manchester United · Expected goals 1.20 Sun 14/09 Liverpool · Expected goals 0.13 Sat 20/09 Nottingham Forest · Expected goals 0.85 Sat 27/09 Manchester City · Expected goals 0.41 Sun 05/10 Aston Villa · Expected goals 0.40 Sat 18/10 Leeds United · Expected goals 0.45 Sun 26/10 Wolverhampton · Expected goals 1.43 Sat 01/11 Arsenal · Expected goals 0.42 Sat 08/11 West Ham United · Expected goals 1.06 Sat 22/11 Chelsea · Expected goals 0.44 Sat 29/11 Brentford · Expected goals 0.95 Wed 03/12 Crystal Palace · Expected goals 0.95 Sat 06/12 Newcastle United · Expected goals 1.61 Sat 13/12 Fulham · Expected goals 2.46 Sat 20/12 Bournemouth · Expected goals 0.38 Sat 27/12 Everton · Expected goals 1.41 Tue 30/12 Newcastle United · Expected goals 1.09 Sat 03/01 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals 0.30 Wed 07/01 Manchester United · Expected goals 0.24 Sat 17/01 Liverpool · Expected goals 0.40 Sat 24/01 Tottenham Hotspur · Expected goals 1.44 Mon 02/02 Sunderland · Expected goals 0.06 Sat 07/02 West Ham United · Expected goals 1.28 Wed 11/02 Crystal Palace · Expected goals 0.53 Sat 21/02 Chelsea · Expected goals 0.78 Sat 28/02 Brentford · Expected goals 0.97 Tue 03/03 Everton · Expected goals 0.79 Sat 14/03 Bournemouth · Expected goals 1.14 Sat 21/03 Fulham · Expected goals 1.24 Sat 11/04 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals 0.88 Sun 19/04 Nottingham Forest · Expected goals 0.36 Wed 22/04 Manchester City · Expected goals 0.63 Fri 01/05 Leeds United · Expected goals 0.57 Sun 10/05 Aston Villa · Expected goals 1.79 Mon 18/05 Arsenal · Expected goals 0.19 Sun 24/05 Wolverhampton · Expected goals 0.98 Sat 16/08 Tottenham Hotspur · Expected goals conceded 2.32 Sat 23/08 Sunderland · Expected goals conceded 0.77 Sat 30/08 Manchester United · Expected goals conceded 3.54 Sun 14/09 Liverpool · Expected goals conceded 2.65 Sat 20/09 Nottingham Forest · Expected goals conceded 1.10 Sat 27/09 Manchester City · Expected goals conceded 2.03 Sun 05/10 Aston Villa · Expected goals conceded 1.16 Sat 18/10 Leeds United · Expected goals conceded 2.63 Sun 26/10 Wolverhampton · Expected goals conceded 2.28 Sat 01/11 Arsenal · Expected goals conceded 2.42 Sat 08/11 West Ham United · Expected goals conceded 3.02 Sat 22/11 Chelsea · Expected goals conceded 1.72 Sat 29/11 Brentford · Expected goals conceded 3.06 Wed 03/12 Crystal Palace · Expected goals conceded 0.59 Sat 06/12 Newcastle United · Expected goals conceded 1.77 Sat 13/12 Fulham · Expected goals conceded 2.23 Sat 20/12 Bournemouth · Expected goals conceded 1.41 Sat 27/12 Everton · Expected goals conceded 0.82 Tue 30/12 Newcastle United · Expected goals conceded 2.31 Sat 03/01 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals conceded 1.45 Wed 07/01 Manchester United · Expected goals conceded 2.55 Sat 17/01 Liverpool · Expected goals conceded 3.18 Sat 24/01 Tottenham Hotspur · Expected goals conceded 2.30 Mon 02/02 Sunderland · Expected goals conceded 1.47 Sat 07/02 West Ham United · Expected goals conceded 1.02 Wed 11/02 Crystal Palace · Expected goals conceded 1.80 Sat 21/02 Chelsea · Expected goals conceded 1.88 Sat 28/02 Brentford · Expected goals conceded 1.94 Tue 03/03 Everton · Expected goals conceded 1.10 Sat 14/03 Bournemouth · Expected goals conceded 2.88 Sat 21/03 Fulham · Expected goals conceded 3.23 Sat 11/04 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals conceded 1.93 Sun 19/04 Nottingham Forest · Expected goals conceded 1.19 Wed 22/04 Manchester City · Expected goals conceded 3.36 Fri 01/05 Leeds United · Expected goals conceded 1.64 Sun 10/05 Aston Villa · Expected goals conceded 1.44 Mon 18/05 Arsenal · Expected goals conceded 1.29 Sun 24/05 Wolverhampton · Expected goals conceded 2.09
The season so far 38 matches, as they add up -43.42 xG difference -1.14 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Burnley's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 16/08 Tottenham Hotspur Away 0:3 0.94 2.32 -1.38 0
Sat 23/08 Sunderland Home 2:0 1.00 0.77 +0.23 2
Sat 30/08 Manchester United Away 2:3 1.20 3.54 -2.34 2
Sun 14/09 Liverpool Home 0:1 0.13 2.65 -2.52 0
Sat 20/09 Nottingham Forest Home 1:1 0.85 1.10 -0.25 1
Sat 27/09 Manchester City Away 1:5 0.41 2.03 -1.62 1
Sun 05/10 Aston Villa Away 1:2 0.40 1.16 -0.76 1
Sat 18/10 Leeds United Home 2:0 0.45 2.63 -2.18 2
Sun 26/10 Wolverhampton Away 3:2 1.43 2.28 -0.85 3
Sat 01/11 Arsenal Home 0:2 0.42 2.42 -2.00 0
Sat 08/11 West Ham United Away 2:3 1.06 3.02 -1.96 2
Sat 22/11 Chelsea Home 0:2 0.44 1.72 -1.28 0
Sat 29/11 Brentford Away 1:3 0.95 3.06 -2.11 1
Wed 03/12 Crystal Palace Home 0:1 0.95 0.59 +0.36 0
Sat 06/12 Newcastle United Away 1:2 1.61 1.77 -0.16 1
Sat 13/12 Fulham Home 2:3 2.46 2.23 +0.23 2
Sat 20/12 Bournemouth Away 1:1 0.38 1.41 -1.03 1
Sat 27/12 Everton Home 0:0 1.41 0.82 +0.59 0
Tue 30/12 Newcastle United Home 1:3 1.09 2.31 -1.22 1
Sat 03/01 Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0:2 0.30 1.45 -1.15 0
Wed 07/01 Manchester United Home 2:2 0.24 2.55 -2.31 2
Sat 17/01 Liverpool Away 1:1 0.40 3.18 -2.78 1
Sat 24/01 Tottenham Hotspur Home 2:2 1.44 2.30 -0.86 2
Mon 02/02 Sunderland Away 0:3 0.06 1.47 -1.41 0
Sat 07/02 West Ham United Home 0:2 1.28 1.02 +0.26 0
Wed 11/02 Crystal Palace Away 3:2 0.53 1.80 -1.27 3
Sat 21/02 Chelsea Away 1:1 0.78 1.88 -1.10 1
Sat 28/02 Brentford Home 3:4 0.97 1.94 -0.97 3
Tue 03/03 Everton Away 0:2 0.79 1.10 -0.31 0
Sat 14/03 Bournemouth Home 0:0 1.14 2.88 -1.74 0
Sat 21/03 Fulham Away 1:3 1.24 3.23 -1.99 1
Sat 11/04 Brighton & Hove Albion Home 0:2 0.88 1.93 -1.05 0
Sun 19/04 Nottingham Forest Away 1:4 0.36 1.19 -0.83 1
Wed 22/04 Manchester City Home 0:1 0.63 3.36 -2.73 0
Fri 01/05 Leeds United Away 1:3 0.57 1.64 -1.07 1
Sun 10/05 Aston Villa Home 2:2 1.79 1.44 +0.35 2
Mon 18/05 Arsenal Away 0:1 0.19 1.29 -1.10 0
Sun 24/05 Wolverhampton Home 1:1 0.98 2.09 -1.11 1
The season so far 32.15 75.57 38

Finishing

+5.85

Goals vs xG

Defending

-0.57

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-2.66

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Premier League 2025/2026 How the model works →