xgEdge

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Wolverhampton 1:3 Chelsea

Wolverhampton Home 1.09 xG · 11 shots
Chelsea Away 3.16 xG · 15 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 13' Cole Palmer (pen.) Chelsea · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
  2. 35' Cole Palmer (pen.) Chelsea · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
  3. 38' Cole Palmer Chelsea · 0.20 xG chance 0–3
  4. 54' Tolu Arokodare Wolverhampton · 0.50 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Wolverhampton Chelsea
Shots
11
15
On target
3
6
Inside the box
9
11
xG per shot
0.10
0.21
Open play xG
0.19
1.58
Set-piece xG
0.92
0.00
Penalties
0
2
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.09 for Wolverhampton and 1.58 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 13' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 35' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Wolverhampton · Tolu Arokodare · 54' · Goal · 3 m · 0.50 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 87' · No goal · 8 m · 0.47 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 25' · No goal · 10 m · 0.39 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 38' · Goal · 8 m · 0.20 xG Wolverhampton · Rodrigo Gomes · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.16 xG Chelsea · Malo Gusto · 31' · No goal · 7 m · 0.15 xG Chelsea · Marc Cucurella · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Wolverhampton · Yerson Mosquera · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG Wolverhampton · Yerson Mosquera · 8' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 54' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Moisés Caicedo · 24' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Yerson Mosquera · 71' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 88' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Tolu Arokodare · 2' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 49' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 88' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 30' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 40' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 56' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Hugo Bueno · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Tolu Arokodare · 64' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 15' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 4.33 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Wolverhampton
  • Chelsea
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wolverhampton

1.01 xG created 0.86 xGA

  • D 1.16 created, 0.84 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 1.87 created, 0.25 conceded against West Ham United
  • D 0.68 created, 0.89 conceded against Everton
  • D 0.29 created, 0.88 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 0.59 created, 0.92 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 1.44 created, 1.36 conceded against Bournemouth
Chelsea

2.15 xG created 1.65 xGA

  • D 2.31 created, 3.14 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 1.85 created, 1.02 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 2.39 created, 1.20 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.59 created, 1.52 conceded against Brentford
  • W 2.20 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.55 created, 1.12 conceded against West Ham United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Wolverhampton: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.