What Akhmat Grozny have left to play in Russian Premier League 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
3 matches ahead in Russian Premier League
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 3 matches ahead of Akhmat Grozny in Russian Premier League rates 3.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 1 of them rates harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 1.15 projected xG a match from them and 3.5 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Zenit St. Petersburg away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 58/99 and a defence rated 81/99.
The run at a glance
Orenburg home Fri 23/10
Projected xG 1.44 – 1.33 Akhmat Grozny win 38%
Zenit St. Petersburg away Sun 18/10
Projected xG 0.84 – 1.57 Akhmat Grozny win 17%
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Open the match page for Baltika Kaliningrad
Sun 11/10 Home Baltika Kaliningrad Russian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 68/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.25 Projected xPts 1.29- Akhmat Grozny
- 32%
- Draw
- 32%
- Baltika Kaliningrad
- 36%
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Open the match page for Zenit St. Petersburg
Sun 18/10 Away Zenit St. Petersburg Russian Premier League
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 81/99Projected xG 0.84 – 1.57 Projected xPts 0.80- Zenit St. Petersburg
- 54%
- Draw
- 29%
- Akhmat Grozny
- 17%
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Open the match page for Orenburg
Fri 23/10 Home Orenburg Russian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 46/99Projected xG 1.44 – 1.33 Projected xPts 1.43- Akhmat Grozny
- 38%
- Draw
- 30%
- Orenburg
- 33%
Russian Premier League publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Russian Premier League.
Fixture difficulty in Russian Premier League
Reads each matchup for Akhmat Grozny: the band is cut from the model's chances of Akhmat Grozny winning and losing the match, so Akhmat Grozny's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 3 opponents
+0.23 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 3 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Russian Premier League's average club, with no venue and nothing of Akhmat Grozny's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 3
+0.23 xG vs league average · over 3 fixtures
- Baltika Kaliningrad Home +0.19
- Zenit St. Petersburg Away +0.48
- Orenburg Home +0.04
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Russian Premier League and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.