Baltika Kaliningrad 1:0 FC Spartak Moscow: xG & match report · Russian Premier League

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Russian Premier League

Baltika Kaliningrad Home 0.78 xG

FC Spartak Moscow Away 1.19 xG

10 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Baltika Kaliningrad FC Spartak Moscow

Shots: 9; 19
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 7; 11
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Baltika Kaliningrad

1.21 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 1.36 created, 0.48 conceded against Dinamo Makhachkala
W 2.60 created, 1.77 conceded against Rubin Kazan
D 0.32 created, 1.10 conceded against Pari Nizhny Novgorod
W 1.27 created, 1.63 conceded against Akhmat Grozny
D 1.23 created, 0.88 conceded against FK Krasnodar
D 0.47 created, 0.73 conceded against Orenburg

FC Spartak Moscow

1.56 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 3.45 created, 1.94 conceded against CSKA Moscow
D 1.11 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Rostov
W 1.38 created, 0.51 conceded against Orenburg
L 0.83 created, 2.34 conceded against FK Krasnodar
W 0.73 created, 0.90 conceded against Akhmat Grozny
W 1.86 created, 0.48 conceded against CSKA Moscow

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Baltika Kaliningrad: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC Spartak Moscow 0:3 Baltika Kaliningrad 26/07/2025 xG 0.30 – 2.08

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.