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Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 10:00

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Match report · Russian Premier League

Orenburg 2:1 Zenit St. Petersburg

Orenburg Home 2.39 xG
Zenit St. Petersburg Away 2.84 xG
21 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Orenburg Zenit St. Petersburg
Shots
15
19
On target
5
5
Inside the box
13
13
xG per shot
0.16
0.15

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Orenburg

1.23 xG created 1.34 xGA

  • W 1.58 created, 1.10 conceded against FC Sochi
  • L 0.38 created, 3.07 conceded against Lokomotiv Moscow
  • D 0.73 created, 0.47 conceded against Baltika Kaliningrad
  • L 1.17 created, 1.30 conceded against CSKA Moscow
  • L 0.93 created, 0.42 conceded against Akhmat Grozny
  • W 2.60 created, 1.70 conceded against Akron Togliatti
Zenit St. Petersburg

1.14 xG created 0.55 xGA

  • W 1.18 created, 0.40 conceded against Lokomotiv Moscow
  • D 0.51 created, 1.09 conceded against Krylya Sovetov Samara
  • W 1.35 created, 0.27 conceded against Pari Nizhny Novgorod
  • W 0.97 created, 0.86 conceded against Rubin Kazan
  • W 1.63 created, 0.50 conceded against Akron Togliatti
  • W 1.17 created, 0.19 conceded against Baltika Kaliningrad

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Orenburg: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.