Heart of Midlothian 4:0 Dundee United: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Sunday, 09/08/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian Home 2.09 xG · 12 shots

Dundee United Away 0.54 xG · 10 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Tom Renaud Heart of Midlothian · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
12' Calvin Miller (pen.) Heart of Midlothian · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
56' Cláudio Braga Heart of Midlothian · 0.07 xG chance 3–0
67' Josh McPake Heart of Midlothian · 0.05 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Heart of Midlothian Dundee United

Shots: 12; 10
On target: 7; 0
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.28; 0.47
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.06
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for Heart of Midlothian and 0.54 for Dundee United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Heart of Midlothian
Dundee United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heart of Midlothian

1.09 xG created 1.26 xGA

W 1.83 created, 0.52 conceded against Hibernian
W 0.75 created, 0.82 conceded against Rangers
D 1.09 created, 0.45 conceded against Motherwell
W 0.59 created, 0.30 conceded against Falkirk FC
L 0.96 created, 2.82 conceded against Celtic
L 1.34 created, 2.66 conceded against Aberdeen

Dundee United

1.31 xG created 1.33 xGA

W 2.18 created, 0.85 conceded against Dundee FC
L 1.82 created, 1.98 conceded against Kilmarnock
L 0.46 created, 1.78 conceded against Aberdeen
D 1.42 created, 0.89 conceded against Livingston
D 0.36 created, 1.00 conceded against St. Mirren
D 1.64 created, 1.46 conceded against Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heart of Midlothian: 2 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.