Heart of Midlothian 1:1 Kilmarnock: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Wednesday, 03/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian Home 2.19 xG

Kilmarnock Away 1.75 xG

11 Heart of Midlothian had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Heart of Midlothian Kilmarnock

Shots: 17; 11
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 11; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.16

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heart of Midlothian

1.71 xG created 0.71 xGA

W 2.04 created, 1.21 conceded against Celtic
D 1.57 created, 1.01 conceded against St. Mirren
W 2.73 created, 0.27 conceded against Dundee FC
D 0.68 created, 0.46 conceded against Dundee United
L 2.81 created, 0.63 conceded against Aberdeen
D 0.41 created, 0.66 conceded against Motherwell

Kilmarnock

1.08 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.69 created, 0.95 conceded against Rangers
L 1.36 created, 0.61 conceded against Aberdeen
L 0.65 created, 1.86 conceded against Falkirk FC
L 0.65 created, 3.00 conceded against Celtic
L 1.29 created, 1.72 conceded against Motherwell
D 1.83 created, 1.49 conceded against Dundee United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heart of Midlothian: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Kilmarnock 0:3 Heart of Midlothian 18/10/2025 xG 0.26 – 2.85

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.