Hibernian 1:2 Motherwell: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Sunday, 02/08/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Hibernian Home 1.92 xG · 19 shots

Motherwell Away 2.00 xG · 9 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

40' Lukas Fadinger (pen.) Motherwell · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
56' Martin Boyle (pen.) Hibernian · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
85' Ibrahim Said Motherwell · 0.46 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Hibernian Motherwell

Shots: 19; 9
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 11; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.22
Open play xG: 0.47; 1.10
Set-piece xG: 0.68; 0.09
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.14 for Hibernian and 1.22 for Motherwell.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Hibernian
Motherwell
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hibernian

0.73 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 0.16 created, 1.97 conceded against Aberdeen
L 0.52 created, 1.83 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
L 0.38 created, 2.78 conceded against Celtic
W 1.07 created, 0.48 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 1.54 created, 1.45 conceded against Rangers
L 0.70 created, 1.07 conceded against Motherwell

Motherwell

1.06 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 2.01 created, 1.74 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
W 0.57 created, 2.21 conceded against Rangers
L 1.06 created, 1.88 conceded against Falkirk FC
D 0.45 created, 1.09 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
L 1.21 created, 1.37 conceded against Celtic
W 1.07 created, 0.70 conceded against Hibernian

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hibernian: 0 won · 2 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.