Atalanta 2:2 Udinese: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 2.00 xG · 22 shots

Udinese Away 0.77 xG · 8 shots

22 Atalanta had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

40' Thomas Kristensen Udinese · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
55' Keinan Davis Udinese · 0.10 xG chance 0–2
75' Gianluca Scamacca Atalanta · 0.32 xG chance 1–2
79' Gianluca Scamacca Atalanta · 0.21 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Atalanta Udinese

Shots: 22; 8
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 14; 5
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.10; 0.39
Set-piece xG: 0.86; 0.37
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.00 for Atalanta and 0.77 for Udinese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Udinese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

2.01 xG created 1.81 xGA

W 4.07 created, 1.38 conceded against Parma
D 0.52 created, 5.24 conceded against Como
W 2.11 created, 0.62 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.61 created, 1.02 conceded against Lazio
W 0.75 created, 1.08 conceded against Napoli
L 2.98 created, 1.52 conceded against Sassuolo

Udinese

1.00 xG created 1.08 xGA

W 1.67 created, 0.88 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.69 created, 0.73 conceded against Roma
L 0.88 created, 1.59 conceded against Lecce
L 0.54 created, 1.37 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.56 created, 1.27 conceded against Bologna
W 1.65 created, 0.66 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Udinese 1:0 Atalanta 01/11/2025 xG 0.53 – 0.37

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.