xgEdge

Wednesday, 07/01/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · Serie A

Bologna 0:2 Atalanta

Bologna Home 1.10 xG · 11 shots
Atalanta Away 1.38 xG · 11 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 37' Nikola Krstović Atalanta · 0.50 xG chance 0–1
  2. 60' Nikola Krstović Atalanta · 0.13 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Bologna Atalanta
Shots
11
11
On target
2
5
Inside the box
9
7
xG per shot
0.10
0.12
Open play xG
0.67
1.06
Set-piece xG
0.41
0.31
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Bologna and 1.38 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 37' · Goal · 12 m · 0.50 xG Bologna · Thijs Dallinga · 17' · No goal · 6 m · 0.44 xG Atalanta · Éderson · 4' · No goal · 14 m · 0.25 xG Atalanta · Honest Ahanor · 35' · No goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Bologna · Torbjørn Heggem · 58' · No goal · 5 m · 0.16 xG Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 60' · Goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Bologna · Jonathan Rowe · 70' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Atalanta · Davide Zappacosta · 7' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Bologna · Thijs Dallinga · 59' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Bologna · Giovanni Fabbian · 59' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Atalanta · Charles De Ketelaere · 17' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Atalanta · Honest Ahanor · 45' · No goal · 3 m · 0.05 xG Bologna · Nicolò Cambiaghi · 43' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Bologna · Jonathan Rowe · 47' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Bologna · Nicolò Cambiaghi · 58' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Atalanta · Charles De Ketelaere · 63' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Bologna · Thijs Dallinga · 40' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Bologna · Nikola Moro · 82' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Bologna · Martin Vitík · 40' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Atalanta · Marco Brescianini · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 1' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 65' · No goal · 61 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

22 shots · 2.45 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Bologna
  • Atalanta
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bologna

1.39 xG created 1.84 xGA

  • W 2.22 created, 1.46 conceded against Udinese
  • L 2.72 created, 2.13 conceded against Cremonese
  • D 1.11 created, 1.21 conceded against Lazio
  • L 0.55 created, 1.68 conceded against Juventus
  • D 0.88 created, 1.62 conceded against Sassuolo
  • L 0.85 created, 2.93 conceded against Inter
Atalanta

1.63 xG created 0.98 xGA

  • W 1.60 created, 1.58 conceded against Fiorentina
  • L 1.47 created, 0.99 conceded against Hellas Verona
  • W 2.60 created, 0.54 conceded against Cagliari
  • W 1.44 created, 0.81 conceded against Genoa
  • L 0.78 created, 1.16 conceded against Inter
  • W 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.