xgEdge

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Cagliari 0:2 Bologna

Cagliari Home 0.22 xG · 4 shots
Bologna Away 1.11 xG · 10 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 31' Emil Holm Bologna · 0.61 xG chance 0–1
  2. 80' Riccardo Orsolini Bologna · 0.03 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Cagliari Bologna
Shots
4
10
On target
3
7
Inside the box
1
4
xG per shot
0.08
0.11
Open play xG
0.19
0.49
Set-piece xG
0.14
0.64
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.34 for Cagliari and 1.11 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bologna · Emil Holm · 31' · Goal · 5 m · 0.61 xG Bologna · Tommaso Pobega · 84' · No goal · 5 m · 0.30 xG Cagliari · Mattia Felici · 42' · No goal · 21 m · 0.19 xG Bologna · Lewis Ferguson · 30' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Cagliari · Sebastiano Luperto · 78' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Cagliari · Gianluca Gaetano · 90' · No goal · 27 m · 0.05 xG Bologna · Riccardo Orsolini · 75' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Cagliari · Gianluca Gaetano · 90' · No goal · 30 m · 0.04 xG Bologna · Riccardo Orsolini · 80' · Goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 21' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 45' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Bologna · Nicolò Cambiaghi · 50' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Bologna · Federico Bernardeschi · 30' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG Bologna · Federico Bernardeschi · 38' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

14 shots · 1.46 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Cagliari
  • Bologna
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Cagliari

1.03 xG created 1.84 xGA

  • D 1.13 created, 0.98 conceded against Fiorentina
  • L 0.53 created, 1.58 conceded against Napoli
  • W 1.13 created, 1.96 conceded against Parma
  • W 2.24 created, 0.99 conceded against Lecce
  • L 0.18 created, 2.82 conceded against Inter
  • D 0.97 created, 2.68 conceded against Udinese
Bologna

1.41 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • L 0.58 created, 1.56 conceded against Roma
  • W 1.10 created, 0.69 conceded against Como
  • L 0.17 created, 1.00 conceded against Milan
  • W 1.59 created, 0.53 conceded against Genoa
  • D 1.37 created, 1.80 conceded against Lecce
  • W 3.62 created, 0.04 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.