Cremonese 1:2 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 05/04/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Cremonese Home 1.42 xG · 9 shots

Bologna Away 1.11 xG · 14 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

3' João Mário Bologna · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
16' Jonathan Rowe Bologna · 0.18 xG chance 0–2
90' Federico Bonazzoli (pen.) Cremonese · 0.82 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Cremonese Bologna

Shots: 9; 14
On target: 3; 7
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.54; 0.96
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.15
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.62 for Cremonese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Cremonese
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cremonese

1.09 xG created 1.75 xGA

D 2.36 created, 1.25 conceded against Genoa
L 0.07 created, 2.00 conceded against Roma
L 0.99 created, 3.51 conceded against Milan
L 0.96 created, 1.60 conceded against Lecce
L 1.44 created, 1.79 conceded against Fiorentina
W 0.72 created, 0.34 conceded against Parma

Bologna

1.09 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 1.35 created, 0.49 conceded against Torino
W 1.27 created, 0.56 conceded against Udinese
W 0.61 created, 0.46 conceded against Pisa
L 1.28 created, 1.98 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.70 created, 0.54 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.35 created, 1.60 conceded against Lazio

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Cremonese: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Bologna 1:3 Cremonese 01/12/2025 xG 2.72 – 2.13

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.