Fiorentina 5:1 Udinese: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 21/12/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 3.20 xG · 20 shots

Udinese Away 0.64 xG · 11 shots

51 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

21' Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina · 0.13 xG chance 1–0
42' Albert Guðmundsson Fiorentina · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
45' Cher Ndour Fiorentina · 0.34 xG chance 3–0
56' Moise Kean Fiorentina · 0.91 xG chance 4–0
66' Oumar Solet Udinese · 0.03 xG chance 4–1
68' Moise Kean Fiorentina · 0.10 xG chance 5–1

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Udinese

Shots: 20; 11
On target: 7; 4
Inside the box: 11; 8
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.06
Open play xG: 2.81; 0.37
Set-piece xG: 0.40; 0.28
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.24 for Fiorentina and 0.64 for Udinese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Udinese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.35 xG created 1.30 xGA

L 1.46 created, 1.15 conceded against Lecce
D 1.56 created, 1.58 conceded against Genoa
D 0.58 created, 1.50 conceded against Juventus
L 1.58 created, 1.60 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.21 created, 1.00 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.71 created, 0.94 conceded against Hellas Verona

Udinese

1.22 xG created 1.26 xGA

W 0.53 created, 0.37 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.08 created, 1.53 conceded against Roma
L 1.46 created, 2.22 conceded against Bologna
W 1.74 created, 0.96 conceded against Parma
L 1.17 created, 1.57 conceded against Genoa
W 1.31 created, 0.93 conceded against Napoli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.