Milan 1:0 Roma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 02/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 3.32 xG · 17 shots

Roma Away 1.95 xG · 20 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

39' Strahinja Pavlović Milan · 0.61 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Milan Roma

Shots: 17; 20
On target: 8; 6
Inside the box: 13; 14
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.10
Open play xG: 2.87; 0.72
Set-piece xG: 0.95; 0.45
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.76 for Milan and 1.16 for Roma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

37 shots · 5.81 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Roma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.30 xG created 1.38 xGA

W 1.44 created, 0.34 conceded against Udinese
W 0.75 created, 2.96 conceded against Napoli
D 1.74 created, 1.13 conceded against Juventus
W 1.98 created, 1.08 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.54 created, 1.42 conceded against Pisa
D 0.36 created, 1.34 conceded against Atalanta

Roma

1.26 xG created 1.07 xGA

W 1.16 created, 1.04 conceded against Lazio
W 0.95 created, 1.38 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 1.35 created, 1.10 conceded against Fiorentina
L 1.35 created, 0.63 conceded against Inter
W 1.74 created, 1.06 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.01 created, 1.21 conceded against Parma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.