Napoli 3:1 Inter: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Napoli Home 1.25 xG · 7 shots

Inter Away 1.89 xG · 15 shots

31 The result went against the chances

Goals

33' Kevin De Bruyne (pen.) Napoli · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
54' Scott McTominay Napoli · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
59' Hakan Çalhanoğlu (pen.) Inter · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
66' Frank Anguissa Napoli · 0.24 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Napoli Inter

Shots: 7; 15
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 4; 9
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.57; 1.00
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.15
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.55 for Napoli and 1.12 for Inter.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 3.37 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Napoli
Inter
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Napoli

2.05 xG created 1.33 xGA

W 1.58 created, 0.53 conceded against Cagliari
W 3.29 created, 1.65 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.08 created, 2.61 conceded against Pisa
L 2.96 created, 0.75 conceded against Milan
W 1.31 created, 0.44 conceded against Genoa
L 2.06 created, 2.00 conceded against Torino

Inter

1.97 xG created 0.83 xGA

L 1.97 created, 1.21 conceded against Udinese
L 0.96 created, 0.68 conceded against Juventus
W 1.89 created, 0.89 conceded against Sassuolo
W 2.82 created, 0.18 conceded against Cagliari
W 3.57 created, 0.64 conceded against Cremonese
W 0.63 created, 1.35 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.