Napoli 2:1 Lecce: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Napoli Home 1.30 xG · 12 shots

Lecce Away 0.76 xG · 12 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Jamil Siebert Lecce · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
46' Rasmus Højlund Napoli · 0.60 xG chance 1–1
67' Matteo Politano Napoli · 0.05 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Napoli Lecce

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 7; 8
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.16; 0.33
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.45
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.29 for Napoli and 0.76 for Lecce.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.04 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Napoli
Lecce
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Napoli

1.31 xG created 0.97 xGA

W 1.80 created, 1.36 conceded against Fiorentina
W 2.30 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa
D 0.58 created, 1.70 conceded against Roma
L 1.08 created, 0.75 conceded against Atalanta
W 0.85 created, 0.31 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 1.24 created, 0.37 conceded against Torino

Lecce

0.91 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.58 created, 1.87 conceded against Torino
W 1.59 created, 0.88 conceded against Udinese
W 1.35 created, 1.01 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.12 created, 2.15 conceded against Inter
L 0.24 created, 2.77 conceded against Como
W 1.60 created, 0.96 conceded against Cremonese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Napoli: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Lecce 0:1 Napoli 28/10/2025 xG 1.16 – 0.83

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.