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Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · Serie A

Parma 1:1 Atalanta

Parma Home 0.68 xG · 7 shots
Atalanta Away 0.81 xG · 11 shots
11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 79' Mario Pašalić Atalanta · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
  2. 85' Patrick Cutrone Parma · 0.55 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Parma Atalanta
Shots
7
11
On target
3
3
Inside the box
3
8
xG per shot
0.10
0.07
Open play xG
0.07
0.68
Set-piece xG
0.64
0.12
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.69 for Parma and 0.81 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Parma · Patrick Cutrone · 85' · Goal · 3 m · 0.55 xG Atalanta · Mario Pašalić · 87' · No goal · 11 m · 0.16 xG Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 74' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 67' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Atalanta · Gianluca Scamacca · 13' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Atalanta · Marten de Roon · 17' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Atalanta · Daniel Maldini · 31' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Atalanta · Mario Pašalić · 79' · Goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Atalanta · Gianluca Scamacca · 19' · No goal · 28 m · 0.05 xG Atalanta · Mario Pašalić · 38' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Atalanta · Charles De Ketelaere · 70' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Parma · Adrián Bernabé · 44' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Parma · Adrián Bernabé · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Parma · Mateo Pellegrino · 66' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Parma · Lautaro Valenti · 37' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Atalanta · Raoul Bellanova · 70' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Parma · Enrico Delprato · 85' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Parma · Emanuele Valeri · 10' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

18 shots · 1.51 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Parma
  • Atalanta
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Parma

0.62 xG created 2.35 xGA

  • L 0.62 created, 2.35 conceded against Juventus
Atalanta

1.92 xG created 0.63 xGA

  • D 1.92 created, 0.63 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.