Parma 2:3 Roma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 10/05/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 0.73 xG · 11 shots

Roma Away 2.62 xG · 15 shots

23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

22' Donyell Malen Roma · 0.19 xG chance 0–1
47' Gabriel Strefezza Parma · 0.09 xG chance 1–1
87' Mandela Keita Parma · 0.17 xG chance 2–1
90' Devyne Rensch Roma · 0.02 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Donyell Malen (pen.) Roma · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Parma Roma

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 3; 7
Inside the box: 6; 12
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.69; 1.34
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.47
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.71 for Parma and 1.82 for Roma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.33 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Roma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.69 xG created 1.21 xGA

L 0.34 created, 0.72 conceded against Cremonese
D 0.44 created, 0.40 conceded against Lazio
D 0.19 created, 1.22 conceded against Napoli
W 1.23 created, 1.13 conceded against Udinese
W 1.64 created, 1.71 conceded against Pisa
L 0.27 created, 2.09 conceded against Inter

Roma

1.46 xG created 0.81 xGA

W 0.84 created, 1.08 conceded against Lecce
L 0.96 created, 1.17 conceded against Inter
W 1.53 created, 1.26 conceded against Pisa
D 1.07 created, 0.68 conceded against Atalanta
W 2.13 created, 0.50 conceded against Bologna
W 2.24 created, 0.14 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Parma: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Roma 2:1 Parma 29/10/2025 xG 1.01 – 1.21

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.