AE Larisa 1:4 Panetolikos: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Super League Greece

AE Larisa Home 1.24 xG

Panetolikos Away 0.48 xG

14 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

AE Larisa Panetolikos

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 5; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AE Larisa

1.06 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.06 created, 3.08 conceded against APO Levadiakos
D 0.19 created, 0.34 conceded against Atromitos Athens
D 1.41 created, 2.54 conceded against AE Kifisia
W 0.63 created, 0.55 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
W 1.55 created, 0.72 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
W 2.52 created, 0.76 conceded against NPS Volos

Panetolikos

0.61 xG created 2.06 xGA

L 0.16 created, 2.24 conceded against AEK Athens
L 1.07 created, 1.60 conceded against NPS Volos
L 0.60 created, 2.76 conceded against PAOK
L 1.00 created, 1.09 conceded against APO Levadiakos
L 0.81 created, 1.88 conceded against OFI Crete
L 0.03 created, 2.76 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AE Larisa: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Panetolikos 3:0 AE Larisa 08/11/2025 xG 2.45 – 0.88

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.