Aris Thessaloniki 1:1 AEK Athens: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Sunday, 11/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

Aris Thessaloniki Home 0.59 xG

AEK Athens Away 1.50 xG

11 AEK Athens had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Aris Thessaloniki AEK Athens

Shots: 10; 8
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 4; 5
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.19

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aris Thessaloniki

0.97 xG created 1.73 xGA

D 0.38 created, 1.78 conceded against Asteras Aktor
L 0.50 created, 2.51 conceded against AEK Athens
W 2.82 created, 0.82 conceded against AE Larisa
L 0.55 created, 3.31 conceded against PAOK
D 0.88 created, 1.25 conceded against Olympiacos FC
W 0.66 created, 0.73 conceded against Asteras Aktor

AEK Athens

2.43 xG created 0.80 xGA

W 2.95 created, 0.12 conceded against OFI Crete
W 2.51 created, 0.50 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
W 2.02 created, 1.60 conceded against Panathinaikos
W 2.54 created, 0.92 conceded against Atromitos Athens
W 2.24 created, 0.16 conceded against Panetolikos
W 2.32 created, 1.47 conceded against OFI Crete

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aris Thessaloniki: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

AEK Athens 1:0 Aris Thessaloniki 23/11/2025 xG 2.51 – 0.50

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.