Başakşehir FK 2:1 Fatih Karagümrük: xG & match report · Süper Lig

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Süper Lig

Başakşehir FK Home 2.00 xG

Fatih Karagümrük Away 0.65 xG

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Başakşehir FK Fatih Karagümrük

Shots: 12; 11
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Başakşehir FK

1.52 xG created 1.70 xGA

L 1.14 created, 1.98 conceded against Gençlerbirliği
L 1.98 created, 3.20 conceded against Trabzonspor
W 1.27 created, 1.41 conceded against Kasımpaşa
D 1.08 created, 1.10 conceded against Fenerbahçe
W 0.99 created, 0.70 conceded against Samsunspor
W 2.68 created, 1.82 conceded against Gaziantep FK

Fatih Karagümrük

0.84 xG created 1.48 xGA

W 1.24 created, 0.51 conceded against Konyaspor
D 1.66 created, 1.12 conceded against Eyüpspor
L 0.47 created, 3.14 conceded against Beşiktaş
L 0.42 created, 2.16 conceded against Gençlerbirliği
D 0.99 created, 1.15 conceded against Kocaelispor
L 0.25 created, 0.82 conceded against Alanyaspor

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Başakşehir FK: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Fatih Karagümrük 0:2 Başakşehir FK 17/09/2025 xG 0.39 – 0.11

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.