AC Horsens 1:1 FC Nordsjælland: xG & match report · Superliga (Denmark)

Sunday, 26/07/2026 at 18:00

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Match report · Superliga (Denmark)

AC Horsens Home 1.50 xG · 8 shots

FC Nordsjælland Away 2.66 xG · 23 shots

11 FC Nordsjælland had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

33' Nicklas Røjkjær FC Nordsjælland · 0.44 xG chance 0–1
43' Adrian Justinussen (pen.) AC Horsens · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

AC Horsens FC Nordsjælland

Shots: 8; 23
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 5; 15
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.68; 1.87
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.88
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for AC Horsens and 2.85 for FC Nordsjælland.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 4.39 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

AC Horsens
FC Nordsjælland
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

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Last 6 · xG per match

AC Horsens

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

FC Nordsjælland

1.92 xG created 1.54 xGA

W 2.12 created, 1.48 conceded against Viborg FF
D 2.45 created, 1.13 conceded against AGF
L 0.72 created, 2.42 conceded against Viborg FF
D 0.91 created, 1.49 conceded against Brøndby IF
D 2.40 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Midtjylland
W 2.90 created, 1.99 conceded against Sønderjyske Fodbold

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.