FC Lugano 4:1 FC Winterthur: xG & match report · Swiss Super League

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Swiss Super League

FC Lugano Home 2.30 xG

FC Winterthur Away 1.04 xG

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Lugano FC Winterthur

Shots: 16; 14
On target: 7; 6
Inside the box: 13; 9
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Lugano

1.45 xG created 1.26 xGA

D 0.82 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Sion
D 0.87 created, 2.29 conceded against FC Lausanne-Sport
W 1.30 created, 1.58 conceded against Servette FC
W 1.77 created, 0.42 conceded against FC Zürich
W 2.64 created, 0.90 conceded against Young Boys
W 1.30 created, 1.07 conceded against FC Luzern

FC Winterthur

1.15 xG created 2.33 xGA

L 0.08 created, 2.45 conceded against Young Boys
W 0.86 created, 1.96 conceded against FC Luzern
L 3.24 created, 2.93 conceded against Basel
D 1.37 created, 1.86 conceded against FC Zürich
L 0.43 created, 3.40 conceded against FC Thun
L 0.92 created, 1.37 conceded against FC Sion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Lugano: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC Winterthur 2:4 FC Lugano 05/10/2025 xG 1.26 – 2.88

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.