xgEdge

Expected goals

GAIS expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 17 matches · updated 4 Oct

GAIS's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

GAIS xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.75 xG per match
#7/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
29.67 17 matches
Defence
1.34 xGA per match
#4/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
22.77 17 matches
xG difference
+0.41 xGD per match
#6/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.90 17 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.61 xPts per match
#6/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
27.43 vs 30 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 17 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

GAIS's underlying numbers are among the best in Allsvenskan. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.41 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 26 goals are 3.67 below 29.67 xG, while 28 points are 0.57 above 27.43 xPts — both over the 17 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
26 29.67 -3.67 scored 3.67 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 22.77 -8.77 conceded 8.77 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
28 27.43 +0.57 0.57 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

GAIS are 3.67 goals below their xG after 17 matches. The gap was widest at -5.33, against BK Häcken on Sat 05/09.

Goals
26
xG
29.67
Gap
-3.67
Sun 12/04 Sun 19/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 Wed 20/05 Sat 30/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 20/09 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 -0.35 -0.40 +0.75 +1.97 +2.08 +2.21 +1.57 +3.41 +2.58 +1.34 -0.63 -2.44 -3.79 -4.80 -3.79 -5.33 -3.67 -0.35 -0.05 +1.15 +1.22 +0.11 +0.13 -0.64 +1.84 -0.83 -1.24 -1.97 -1.81 -1.35 -1.01 +1.01 -1.54 +1.66 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
GAIS: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 12/04 Malmö FF 1 1.35 -0.35 -0.35
Sun 19/04 BK Häcken 1 1.05 -0.05 -0.40
Sun 26/04 IFK Göteborg 2 0.85 +1.15 +0.75
Sun 03/05 Örgryte IS 4 2.78 +1.22 +1.97
Sat 09/05 Västerås SK 1 0.89 +0.11 +2.08
Sat 16/05 Degerfors IF 1 0.87 +0.13 +2.21
Wed 20/05 Hammarby IF 2 2.64 -0.64 +1.57
Sat 30/05 Kalmar FF 3 1.16 +1.84 +3.41
Sun 12/07 IF Elfsborg 1 1.83 -0.83 +2.58
Sat 18/07 AIK 0 1.24 -1.24 +1.34
Sun 26/07 Halmstads BK 1 2.97 -1.97 -0.63
Sun 09/08 Halmstads BK 2 3.81 -1.81 -2.44
Sun 16/08 Malmö FF 0 1.35 -1.35 -3.79
Sun 23/08 Hammarby IF 0 1.01 -1.01 -4.80
Mon 31/08 IF Brommapojkarna 4 2.99 +1.01 -3.79
Sat 05/09 BK Häcken 0 1.54 -1.54 -5.33
Sun 20/09 Mjällby AIF 3 1.34 +1.66 -3.67

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

GAIS xG trend

Current form +0.58 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 9 of 17 matches. The worst was against Hammarby IF on Sun 23/08 (-1.99).

npxG · last 6
2.01
npxGA · last 6
1.43
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.37 Sun 12/04 -0.08 Sun 19/04 +0.06 Sun 26/04 +2.44 Sun 03/05 +0.51 Sat 09/05 -0.14 Sat 16/05 +0.67 Wed 20/05 -0.06 Sat 30/05 -0.38 Sun 12/07 -0.68 Sat 18/07 +1.48 Sun 26/07 +2.91 Sun 09/08 +1.13 Sun 16/08 -1.99 Sun 23/08 +1.86 Mon 31/08 -0.60 Sat 05/09 +0.14 Sun 20/09 +0.41 season avg
GAIS: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 12/04 Malmö FF 1.35 1.72 -0.37 -0.37
Sun 19/04 BK Häcken 1.05 1.13 -0.08 -0.22
Sun 26/04 IFK Göteborg 0.85 0.79 +0.06 -0.13
Sun 03/05 Örgryte IS 2.78 0.34 +2.44 +0.51
Sat 09/05 Västerås SK 0.89 0.38 +0.51 +0.51
Sat 16/05 Degerfors IF 0.87 1.01 -0.14 +0.40
Wed 20/05 Hammarby IF 2.64 1.97 +0.67 +0.44
Sat 30/05 Kalmar FF 1.16 1.22 -0.06 +0.38
Sun 12/07 IF Elfsborg 1.83 2.21 -0.38 +0.29
Sat 18/07 AIK 1.24 1.92 -0.68 +0.20
Sun 26/07 Halmstads BK 2.97 1.49 +1.48 +0.31
Sun 09/08 Halmstads BK 3.81 0.90 +2.91 +0.53
Sun 16/08 Malmö FF 1.35 0.22 +1.13 +0.58
Sun 23/08 Hammarby IF 1.01 3.00 -1.99 +0.39
Mon 31/08 IF Brommapojkarna 2.99 1.13 +1.86 +0.49
Sat 05/09 BK Häcken 1.54 2.14 -0.60 +0.42
Sun 20/09 Mjällby AIF 1.34 1.20 +0.14 +0.41

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.75 npxG and 1.34 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 7 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.27 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 16

  1. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  2. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  3. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  4. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  5. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  6. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  7. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  8. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  9. AIK Away −0.44
  10. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  11. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  12. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  13. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  14. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  15. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  16. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  17. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  18. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  19. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  20. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  21. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  22. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46

Last 5

+0.27 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  2. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  3. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  4. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  5. Hammarby IF Away +1.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

GAIS shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. GAIS take 14.5 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #6 in Allsvenskan for volume and #11 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.5 shots per match
#6/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
247 shots from 17 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#11/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
29.67 npxG from 247 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.4 shots per match
#5/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
211 shots allowed from 17 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#3/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
22.77 npxGA from 211 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 152 of 247 shots over 17 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 130 of 211 shots allowed over 17 matches

How the shot figures are made →

GAIS home and away xG

GAIS per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 9 with xG 11 8 with xG
xG / match 2.01 1.44
xGA / match 1.30 1.38
xGD / match +0.71 +0.06
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.83 1.37

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every GAIS match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
11 8 with xG
xG / match
1.44
xGA / match
1.38
xGD / match
+0.06
Points
11 of 33
  1. Sun 20/09 Mjällby AIF A xG 1.34 xGA 1.20 xGD +0.14
  2. Mon 14/09 Djurgårdens IF A
  3. Sun 23/08 Hammarby IF A Weakest underlying xG 1.01 xGA 3.00 xGD -1.99
  4. Sun 09/08 Halmstads BK A Best underlying xG 3.81 xGA 0.90 xGD +2.91
  5. Sat 18/07 AIK A xG 1.24 xGA 1.92 xGD -0.68
  6. Mon 06/07 IF Brommapojkarna A
  7. Sun 24/05 IK Sirius A
  8. Sat 09/05 Västerås SK A xG 0.89 xGA 0.38 xGD +0.51
  9. Sun 26/04 IFK Göteborg A xG 0.85 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.06
  10. Sun 19/04 BK Häcken A xG 1.05 xGA 1.13 xGD -0.08
  11. Sun 12/04 Malmö FF A xG 1.35 xGA 1.72 xGD -0.37

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.81. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

GAIS in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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