Expected goals
IFK Norrköping expected goals (xG) 2025/2026
Allsvenskan · after 32 matches · updated 4 Oct
IFK Norrköping's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
IFK Norrköping xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓
Attack
Expected goals (xG)
The quality of chances created, summed. Per match = total ÷ matches with xG.
1.30
xG per match
#12/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | IK Sirius | 1.83 |
| #2 | Malmö FF | 1.79 |
| #3 | BK Häcken | 1.79 |
| #4 | GAIS | 1.74 |
| #5 | Hammarby IF | 1.73 |
| #6 | Mjällby AIF | 1.59 |
| #7 | IF Elfsborg | 1.56 |
| #8 | Djurgårdens IF | 1.53 |
| #9 | IFK Göteborg | 1.50 |
| #10 | Degerfors IF | 1.39 |
| #11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.36 |
| #12 | IFK Norrköping | 1.30 |
| #13 | AIK | 1.28 |
| #14 | Halmstads BK | 1.14 |
| #15 | IFK Värnamo | 1.14 |
| #16 | Östers IF | 1.14 |
- League avg
- 1.49
- Total
- 41.52 32 matches
Defence
Expected goals against (xGA)
The quality of chances conceded. Ranked lowest first, and drawn with better to the right.
1.77
xGA per match
#14/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 1.07 |
| #2 | AIK | 1.15 |
| #3 | Mjällby AIF | 1.16 |
| #4 | Djurgårdens IF | 1.16 |
| #5 | Malmö FF | 1.17 |
| #6 | GAIS | 1.22 |
| #7 | IK Sirius | 1.45 |
| #8 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.52 |
| #9 | Degerfors IF | 1.53 |
| #10 | IFK Göteborg | 1.58 |
| #11 | BK Häcken | 1.60 |
| #12 | Halmstads BK | 1.67 |
| #13 | IF Elfsborg | 1.75 |
| #14 | IFK Norrköping | 1.77 |
| #15 | Östers IF | 1.78 |
| #16 | IFK Värnamo | 2.17 |
- League avg
- 1.49
- Total
- 56.52 32 matches
xG difference
xG difference (xGD)
xG minus xGA. Positive means creating more than conceding; the league average is 0.00.
-0.47
xGD per match
#13/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | +0.66 |
| #2 | Malmö FF | +0.62 |
| #3 | GAIS | +0.52 |
| #4 | Mjällby AIF | +0.43 |
| #5 | IK Sirius | +0.38 |
| #6 | Djurgårdens IF | +0.36 |
| #7 | BK Häcken | +0.18 |
| #8 | AIK | +0.12 |
| #9 | IFK Göteborg | -0.08 |
| #10 | Degerfors IF | -0.15 |
| #11 | IF Brommapojkarna | -0.16 |
| #12 | IF Elfsborg | -0.19 |
| #13 | IFK Norrköping | -0.47 |
| #14 | Halmstads BK | -0.52 |
| #15 | Östers IF | -0.65 |
| #16 | IFK Värnamo | -1.03 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -15.00 32 matches
Expected points
Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
Expected points (xPts)
Model output: the points a side would average with these chances. See how it works.
1.08
xPts per match
#13/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 1.82 |
| #2 | Malmö FF | 1.80 |
| #3 | GAIS | 1.75 |
| #4 | Djurgårdens IF | 1.64 |
| #5 | Mjällby AIF | 1.62 |
| #6 | IK Sirius | 1.60 |
| #7 | BK Häcken | 1.51 |
| #8 | AIK | 1.48 |
| #9 | IFK Göteborg | 1.35 |
| #10 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.27 |
| #11 | Degerfors IF | 1.23 |
| #12 | IF Elfsborg | 1.23 |
| #13 | IFK Norrköping | 1.08 |
| #14 | Halmstads BK | 1.04 |
| #15 | Östers IF | 0.97 |
| #16 | IFK Värnamo | 0.80 |
- League avg
- 1.38
- Total
- 34.71 vs 30 actual pts
What the xG says
IFK Norrköping's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.47 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 40 goals are 1.52 below 41.52 xG, while 30 points are 4.71 below 34.71 xPts.
Actual vs expected
Measure
Actual
Expected
Difference
Reading
30
34.71
-4.71
4.71 points below xPts
within normal variance
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
IFK Norrköping are 1.52 goals below their xG after 32 matches.
- Goals
- 40
- xG
- 41.52
- Gap
- -1.52
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 30/03 | Östers IF | 4 | 3.06 | +0.94 | +0.94 |
| Sun 06/04 | AIK | 3 | 1.73 | +1.27 | +2.21 |
| Sat 12/04 | IF Elfsborg | 0 | 1.04 | -1.04 | +1.17 |
| Sat 19/04 | Halmstads BK | 3 | 1.60 | +1.40 | +2.57 |
| Thu 24/04 | IFK Göteborg | 2 | 2.16 | -0.16 | +2.41 |
| Sun 27/04 | IFK Värnamo | 3 | 1.12 | +1.88 | +4.29 |
| Sun 04/05 | BK Häcken | 0 | 0.92 | -0.92 | +3.37 |
| Sun 11/05 | Hammarby IF | 1 | 0.57 | +0.43 | +3.80 |
| Thu 15/05 | Degerfors IF | 1 | 1.75 | -0.75 | +3.05 |
| Mon 19/05 | IK Sirius | 2 | 1.31 | +0.69 | +3.74 |
| Mon 26/05 | Mjällby AIF | 1 | 1.45 | -0.45 | +3.29 |
| Sat 31/05 | GAIS | 0 | 0.57 | -0.57 | +2.72 |
| Mon 30/06 | Djurgårdens IF | 1 | 0.40 | +0.60 | +3.32 |
| Mon 07/07 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0 | 0.79 | -0.79 | +2.53 |
| Sat 12/07 | Malmö FF | 1 | 1.14 | -0.14 | +2.39 |
| Mon 21/07 | IFK Värnamo | 3 | 2.48 | +0.52 | +2.91 |
| Sat 26/07 | Degerfors IF | 0 | 0.26 | -0.26 | +2.65 |
| Sat 02/08 | IF Brommapojkarna | 4 | 1.98 | +2.02 | +4.67 |
| Sun 10/08 | Hammarby IF | 0 | 0.46 | -0.46 | +4.21 |
| Sat 16/08 | IF Elfsborg | 2 | 3.14 | -1.14 | +3.07 |
| Mon 25/08 | Östers IF | 2 | 1.54 | +0.46 | +3.53 |
| Sun 31/08 | Djurgårdens IF | 0 | 0.49 | -0.49 | +3.04 |
| Sat 13/09 | Halmstads BK | 1 | 2.23 | -1.23 | +1.81 |
| Mon 22/09 | AIK | 3 | 1.04 | +1.96 | +3.77 |
| Sat 27/09 | BK Häcken | 0 | 0.33 | -0.33 | +3.44 |
| Sat 04/10 | GAIS | 1 | 0.28 | +0.72 | +4.16 |
| Sat 18/10 | Malmö FF | 0 | 1.06 | -1.06 | +3.10 |
| Sun 26/10 | Mjällby AIF | 1 | 1.36 | -0.36 | +2.74 |
| Sat 01/11 | IK Sirius | 1 | 0.78 | +0.22 | +2.96 |
| Sun 09/11 | IFK Göteborg | 0 | 1.20 | -1.20 | +1.76 |
| Sat 22/11 | Örgryte IS | 0 | 2.61 | -2.61 | -0.85 |
| Sat 29/11 | Örgryte IS | 0 | 0.67 | -0.67 | -1.52 |
IFK Norrköping xG trend
Current form -0.31 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 10 of 32 matches. The worst was against BK Häcken on Sat 27/09 (-2.40).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.28
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.59
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 30/03 | Östers IF | 3.06 | 2.07 | +0.99 | +0.99 |
| Sun 06/04 | AIK | 1.73 | 1.19 | +0.54 | +0.77 |
| Sat 12/04 | IF Elfsborg | 1.04 | 2.11 | -1.07 | +0.15 |
| Sat 19/04 | Halmstads BK | 1.60 | 0.26 | +1.34 | +0.45 |
| Thu 24/04 | IFK Göteborg | 2.16 | 2.76 | -0.60 | +0.24 |
| Sun 27/04 | IFK Värnamo | 1.12 | 1.44 | -0.32 | +0.15 |
| Sun 04/05 | BK Häcken | 0.92 | 1.98 | -1.06 | -0.03 |
| Sun 11/05 | Hammarby IF | 0.57 | 2.66 | -2.09 | -0.28 |
| Thu 15/05 | Degerfors IF | 1.75 | 1.52 | +0.23 | -0.23 |
| Mon 19/05 | IK Sirius | 1.31 | 2.73 | -1.42 | -0.35 |
| Mon 26/05 | Mjällby AIF | 1.45 | 1.49 | -0.04 | -0.32 |
| Sat 31/05 | GAIS | 0.57 | 2.24 | -1.67 | -0.43 |
| Mon 30/06 | Djurgårdens IF | 0.40 | 2.63 | -2.23 | -0.57 |
| Mon 07/07 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0.79 | 1.30 | -0.51 | -0.56 |
| Sat 12/07 | Malmö FF | 1.14 | 2.26 | -1.12 | -0.60 |
| Mon 21/07 | IFK Värnamo | 2.48 | 1.96 | +0.52 | -0.53 |
| Sat 26/07 | Degerfors IF | 0.26 | 1.88 | -1.62 | -0.60 |
| Sat 02/08 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.98 | 1.52 | +0.46 | -0.54 |
| Sun 10/08 | Hammarby IF | 0.46 | 0.81 | -0.35 | -0.53 |
| Sat 16/08 | IF Elfsborg | 3.14 | 1.38 | +1.76 | -0.41 |
| Mon 25/08 | Östers IF | 1.54 | 1.84 | -0.30 | -0.41 |
| Sun 31/08 | Djurgårdens IF | 0.49 | 1.74 | -1.25 | -0.45 |
| Sat 13/09 | Halmstads BK | 2.23 | 1.35 | +0.88 | -0.39 |
| Mon 22/09 | AIK | 1.04 | 0.51 | +0.53 | -0.35 |
| Sat 27/09 | BK Häcken | 0.33 | 2.73 | -2.40 | -0.43 |
| Sat 04/10 | GAIS | 0.28 | 2.63 | -2.35 | -0.51 |
| Sat 18/10 | Malmö FF | 1.06 | 1.15 | -0.09 | -0.49 |
| Sun 26/10 | Mjällby AIF | 1.36 | 1.58 | -0.22 | -0.48 |
| Sat 01/11 | IK Sirius | 0.78 | 2.52 | -1.74 | -0.52 |
| Sun 09/11 | IFK Göteborg | 1.20 | 2.29 | -1.09 | -0.54 |
| Sat 22/11 | Örgryte IS | 2.61 | 1.19 | +1.42 | -0.48 |
| Sat 29/11 | Örgryte IS | 0.67 | 0.80 | -0.13 | -0.47 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.30 npxG and 1.77 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 9 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
- +0.02 xG vs league average
- Over 32 league matches
- Last 5
- number 8 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
- +0.01 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.02 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · number 9 hardest of 16
- Örgryte IS Home −0.44
- Örgryte IS Away −0.44
- IFK Göteborg Away 0.00
- IK Sirius Home +0.57
- Mjällby AIF Away +0.37
- Malmö FF Home +0.40
- GAIS Away +0.44
- BK Häcken Away +0.35
- AIK Home +0.05
- Halmstads BK Away −0.29
- Djurgårdens IF Home +0.26
- Östers IF Away −0.42
- IF Elfsborg Home −0.29
- Hammarby IF Home +0.51
- IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
- Degerfors IF Away +0.01
- IFK Värnamo Home −0.82
- Malmö FF Away +0.40
- IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
- Djurgårdens IF Away +0.26
- GAIS Home +0.44
- Mjällby AIF Home +0.37
- IK Sirius Away +0.57
- Degerfors IF Home +0.01
- Hammarby IF Away +0.51
- BK Häcken Home +0.35
- IFK Värnamo Away −0.82
- IFK Göteborg Home 0.00
- Halmstads BK Home −0.29
- IF Elfsborg Away −0.29
- AIK Away +0.05
- Östers IF Home −0.42
Last 5
+0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 16
- Örgryte IS Home −0.44
- Örgryte IS Away −0.44
- IFK Göteborg Away 0.00
- IK Sirius Home +0.57
- Mjällby AIF Away +0.37
IFK Norrköping shots and chance quality
Low volume, average quality. IFK Norrköping take 12.0 shots a match (league 13.6) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #14 in Allsvenskan for volume and #10 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).
Attack
Shot volume
Shots per match
Every attempt, penalties included, ÷ matches with shot counts and xG.
12.0
shots per match
#14/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 17.2 |
| #2 | GAIS | 16.2 |
| #3 | Malmö FF | 15.9 |
| #4 | BK Häcken | 15.4 |
| #5 | IK Sirius | 14.9 |
| #6 | Mjällby AIF | 14.5 |
| #7 | Djurgårdens IF | 14.2 |
| #8 | IFK Göteborg | 14.0 |
| #9 | IFK Värnamo | 13.2 |
| #10 | IF Elfsborg | 12.9 |
| #11 | AIK | 12.8 |
| #12 | Degerfors IF | 12.7 |
| #13 | IF Brommapojkarna | 12.6 |
| #14 | IFK Norrköping | 12.0 |
| #15 | Halmstads BK | 10.1 |
| #16 | Östers IF | 9.8 |
- League avg
- 13.6
- Total
- 384 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
Non-penalty xG per shot
Non-penalty xG ÷ shots, over the same matches. Penalty attempts included in the shot count.
0.11
npxG per shot
#10/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | IK Sirius | 0.12 |
| #2 | IF Elfsborg | 0.12 |
| #3 | BK Häcken | 0.12 |
| #4 | Östers IF | 0.12 |
| #5 | Halmstads BK | 0.11 |
| #6 | Malmö FF | 0.11 |
| #7 | Mjällby AIF | 0.11 |
| #8 | Degerfors IF | 0.11 |
| #9 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0.11 |
| #10 | IFK Norrköping | 0.11 |
| #11 | GAIS | 0.11 |
| #12 | IFK Göteborg | 0.11 |
| #13 | Djurgårdens IF | 0.11 |
| #14 | Hammarby IF | 0.10 |
| #15 | AIK | 0.10 |
| #16 | IFK Värnamo | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 41.52 npxG from 384 shots
Defence
Shots allowed
Shots allowed per match
Every opponent attempt, penalties included, ÷ matches with shot counts and xG. Ranked lowest first, and drawn with better to the right.
15.5
shots per match
#14/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 10.4 |
| #2 | AIK | 11.1 |
| #3 | Malmö FF | 11.3 |
| #4 | GAIS | 11.6 |
| =5 | BK Häcken | 12.2 |
| =5 | Mjällby AIF | 12.2 |
| #7 | Djurgårdens IF | 12.6 |
| #8 | IFK Göteborg | 13.4 |
| #9 | Degerfors IF | 13.6 |
| #10 | IK Sirius | 14.1 |
| #11 | IF Elfsborg | 14.8 |
| #12 | Halmstads BK | 14.9 |
| #13 | IF Brommapojkarna | 14.9 |
| #14 | IFK Norrköping | 15.5 |
| #15 | Östers IF | 17.3 |
| #16 | IFK Värnamo | 18.0 |
- League avg
- 13.6
- Total
- 497 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
Non-penalty xGA per shot
Opponents' non-penalty xG ÷ their shots, over the same matches. Penalty attempts included in the shot count. Ranked lowest first.
0.11
npxGA per shot
#12/16
of 16
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Djurgårdens IF | 0.09 |
| #2 | Mjällby AIF | 0.10 |
| #3 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0.10 |
| #4 | IK Sirius | 0.10 |
| #5 | Hammarby IF | 0.10 |
| #6 | Östers IF | 0.10 |
| #7 | AIK | 0.10 |
| #8 | Malmö FF | 0.10 |
| #9 | GAIS | 0.11 |
| #10 | Halmstads BK | 0.11 |
| #11 | Degerfors IF | 0.11 |
| #12 | IFK Norrköping | 0.11 |
| #13 | IFK Göteborg | 0.12 |
| #14 | IF Elfsborg | 0.12 |
| #15 | IFK Värnamo | 0.12 |
| #16 | BK Häcken | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 56.52 npxGA from 497 shots
Shot profile
Shot location
60% inside the box
League avg 64%
From 216 of 362 shots over 31 matches
Covers 31 of 32 matches with xG.
Shots allowed, location
66% allowed inside the box
League avg 64%
From 320 of 486 shots allowed over 31 matches
Covers 31 of 32 matches with xG.
IFK Norrköping home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| xG / match | 1.40 | 1.19 |
| xGA / match | 1.53 | 2.00 |
| xGD / match | -0.13 | -0.81 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.27 | 0.90 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every IFK Norrköping match by xG
At home this season
- Matches
- 16
- xG / match
- 1.40
- xGA / match
- 1.53
- xGD / match
- -0.13
- Points
- 17 of 48
- Sat 29/11 Örgryte IS H xG 0.67 xGA 0.80 xGD -0.13 xPts 1.16
- Sat 01/11 IK Sirius H Weakest underlying xG 0.78 xGA 2.52 xGD -1.74 xPts 0.32
- Sat 18/10 Malmö FF H xG 1.06 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.09 xPts 1.27
- Mon 22/09 AIK H xG 1.04 xGA 0.51 xGD +0.53 xPts 1.86
- Sun 31/08 Djurgårdens IF H xG 0.49 xGA 1.74 xGD -1.25 xPts 0.39
- Sat 16/08 IF Elfsborg H Best underlying xG 3.14 xGA 1.38 xGD +1.76 xPts 2.43
- Sun 10/08 Hammarby IF H xG 0.46 xGA 0.81 xGD -0.35 xPts 0.90
- Mon 21/07 IFK Värnamo H xG 2.48 xGA 1.96 xGD +0.52 xPts 1.72
- Mon 07/07 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 0.79 xGA 1.30 xGD -0.51 xPts 0.89
- Sat 31/05 GAIS H xG 0.57 xGA 2.24 xGD -1.67 xPts 0.30
- Mon 26/05 Mjällby AIF H xG 1.45 xGA 1.49 xGD -0.04 xPts 1.34
- Thu 15/05 Degerfors IF H xG 1.75 xGA 1.52 xGD +0.23 xPts 1.55
- Sun 04/05 BK Häcken H xG 0.92 xGA 1.98 xGD -1.06 xPts 0.61
- Thu 24/04 IFK Göteborg H xG 2.16 xGA 2.76 xGD -0.60 xPts 1.02
- Sat 19/04 Halmstads BK H xG 1.60 xGA 0.26 xGD +1.34 xPts 2.49
- Sun 30/03 Östers IF H xG 3.06 xGA 2.07 xGD +0.99 xPts 2.00
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.14. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
IFK Norrköping in Allsvenskan
Attack
- xG / match #12 of 16
- Shots / match #14 of 16
- Chance quality #10 of 16
- Home xG #10 of 17
- Away xG #11 of 17
Defence
- xGA / match #14 of 16
- Shots allowed #14 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #12 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.