xgEdge

Expected goals

Östers IF expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Allsvenskan · after 29 matches · updated 1 Oct

Östers IF's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Östers IF xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.14 xG per match
#16/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 IK Sirius 1.83
#2 Malmö FF 1.79
#3 BK Häcken 1.79
#4 GAIS 1.74
#5 Hammarby IF 1.73
#6 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.56
#8 Djurgårdens IF 1.53
#9 IFK Göteborg 1.50
#10 Degerfors IF 1.39
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.36
#12 IFK Norrköping 1.30
#13 AIK 1.28
#14 Halmstads BK 1.14
#15 IFK Värnamo 1.14
#16 Östers IF 1.14
League avg
1.49
Total
33.03 29 matches
Defence
1.78 xGA per match
#15/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.07
#2 AIK 1.15
#3 Mjällby AIF 1.16
#4 Djurgårdens IF 1.16
#5 Malmö FF 1.17
#6 GAIS 1.22
#7 IK Sirius 1.45
#8 IF Brommapojkarna 1.52
#9 Degerfors IF 1.53
#10 IFK Göteborg 1.58
#11 BK Häcken 1.60
#12 Halmstads BK 1.67
#13 IF Elfsborg 1.75
#14 IFK Norrköping 1.77
#15 Östers IF 1.78
#16 IFK Värnamo 2.17
League avg
1.49
Total
51.75 29 matches
xG difference
-0.65 xGD per match
#15/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +0.66
#2 Malmö FF +0.62
#3 GAIS +0.52
#4 Mjällby AIF +0.43
#5 IK Sirius +0.38
#6 Djurgårdens IF +0.36
#7 BK Häcken +0.18
#8 AIK +0.12
#9 IFK Göteborg -0.08
#10 Degerfors IF -0.15
#11 IF Brommapojkarna -0.16
#12 IF Elfsborg -0.19
#13 IFK Norrköping -0.47
#14 Halmstads BK -0.52
#15 Östers IF -0.65
#16 IFK Värnamo -1.03
League avg
0.00
Total
-18.72 29 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.97 xPts per match
#15/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.82
#2 Malmö FF 1.80
#3 GAIS 1.75
#4 Djurgårdens IF 1.64
#5 Mjällby AIF 1.62
#6 IK Sirius 1.60
#7 BK Häcken 1.51
#8 AIK 1.48
#9 IFK Göteborg 1.35
#10 IF Brommapojkarna 1.27
#11 Degerfors IF 1.23
#12 IF Elfsborg 1.23
#13 IFK Norrköping 1.08
#14 Halmstads BK 1.04
#15 Östers IF 0.97
#16 IFK Värnamo 0.80
League avg
1.38
Total
28.09 vs 26 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 29 of 30 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Östers IF's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #15 for xG difference at -0.65 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 28 goals are 5.03 below 33.03 xG, while 26 points are 2.09 below 28.09 xPts — both over the 29 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
28 33.03 -5.03 scored 5.03 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
46 51.75 -5.75 conceded 5.75 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
26 28.09 -2.09 2.09 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Östers IF are 5.03 goals below their xG after 29 matches. The gap was widest at -5.84, against Hammarby IF on Sun 31/08.

Goals
28
xG
33.03
Gap
-5.03
Sun 30/03 Sat 05/04 Mon 14/04 Sun 20/04 Thu 24/04 Tue 29/04 Sun 04/05 Sun 11/05 Thu 15/05 Sun 18/05 Sat 24/05 Sat 31/05 Sat 28/06 Sat 05/07 Sun 13/07 Sat 19/07 Sun 27/07 Sun 03/08 Sun 10/08 Sun 17/08 Mon 25/08 Sun 31/08 Sun 14/09 Sat 20/09 Mon 29/09 Sat 04/10 Sun 19/10 Sun 02/11 Sun 09/11 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.93 +0.96 +0.35 -0.22 -0.44 -0.72 -1.50 -2.44 -2.07 -1.91 -2.06 -0.64 +0.06 -1.22 -2.07 -3.89 -4.38 -4.56 -4.96 -4.14 -4.98 -5.84 -4.45 -4.04 -4.31 -3.40 -3.52 -4.29 -5.03 +0.93 +0.03 -0.61 -0.57 -0.22 -0.28 -0.78 -0.94 +0.37 +0.16 -0.15 +1.42 +0.70 -1.28 -0.85 -1.82 -0.49 -0.18 -0.40 +0.82 -0.84 -0.86 +1.39 +0.41 -0.27 +0.91 -0.12 -0.77 -0.74 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Östers IF: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 30/03 IFK Norrköping 3 2.07 +0.93 +0.93
Sat 05/04 BK Häcken 2 1.97 +0.03 +0.96
Mon 14/04 Halmstads BK 0 0.61 -0.61 +0.35
Sun 20/04 AIK 0 0.57 -0.57 -0.22
Thu 24/04 Djurgårdens IF 0 0.22 -0.22 -0.44
Tue 29/04 Malmö FF 0 0.28 -0.28 -0.72
Sun 04/05 Hammarby IF 0 0.78 -0.78 -1.50
Sun 11/05 IF Elfsborg 0 0.94 -0.94 -2.44
Thu 15/05 IFK Göteborg 1 0.63 +0.37 -2.07
Sun 18/05 GAIS 1 0.84 +0.16 -1.91
Sat 24/05 IFK Värnamo 1 1.15 -0.15 -2.06
Sat 31/05 Degerfors IF 2 0.58 +1.42 -0.64
Sat 28/06 IK Sirius 2 1.30 +0.70 +0.06
Sat 05/07 Mjällby AIF 0 1.28 -1.28 -1.22
Sun 13/07 IF Brommapojkarna 0 0.85 -0.85 -2.07
Sat 19/07 Malmö FF 0 1.82 -1.82 -3.89
Sun 27/07 AIK 0 0.49 -0.49 -4.38
Sun 03/08 IK Sirius 1 1.18 -0.18 -4.56
Sun 10/08 IF Brommapojkarna 1 1.40 -0.40 -4.96
Sun 17/08 BK Häcken 2 1.18 +0.82 -4.14
Mon 25/08 IFK Norrköping 1 1.84 -0.84 -4.98
Sun 31/08 Hammarby IF 0 0.86 -0.86 -5.84
Sun 14/09 IFK Värnamo 4 2.61 +1.39 -4.45
Sat 20/09 Mjällby AIF 1 0.59 +0.41 -4.04
Mon 29/09 IFK Göteborg 0 0.27 -0.27 -4.31
Sat 04/10 Halmstads BK 3 2.09 +0.91 -3.40
Sun 19/10 IF Elfsborg 1 1.12 -0.12 -3.52
Sun 02/11 GAIS 1 1.77 -0.77 -4.29
Sun 09/11 Djurgårdens IF 1 1.74 -0.74 -5.03

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Östers IF xG trend

Current form -0.71 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 8 of 29 matches. The worst was against IFK Göteborg on Mon 29/09 (-3.13).

npxG · last 6
1.26
npxGA · last 6
1.98
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.99 Sun 30/03 +0.86 Sat 05/04 -0.64 Mon 14/04 -0.17 Sun 20/04 -1.13 Thu 24/04 -1.91 Tue 29/04 -0.88 Sun 04/05 -2.46 Sun 11/05 -0.51 Thu 15/05 -0.47 Sun 18/05 +0.64 Sat 24/05 -1.69 Sat 31/05 -1.71 Sat 28/06 -0.14 Sat 05/07 -0.84 Sun 13/07 +0.26 Sat 19/07 -0.25 Sun 27/07 -1.59 Sun 03/08 +0.28 Sun 10/08 -1.00 Sun 17/08 +0.30 Mon 25/08 -1.41 Sun 31/08 +1.02 Sun 14/09 -0.75 Sat 20/09 -3.13 Mon 29/09 +1.11 Sat 04/10 -1.65 Sun 19/10 -0.39 Sun 02/11 +0.52 Sun 09/11 -0.65 season avg
Östers IF: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 30/03 IFK Norrköping 2.07 3.06 -0.99 -0.99
Sat 05/04 BK Häcken 1.97 1.11 +0.86 -0.06
Mon 14/04 Halmstads BK 0.61 1.25 -0.64 -0.26
Sun 20/04 AIK 0.57 0.74 -0.17 -0.23
Thu 24/04 Djurgårdens IF 0.22 1.35 -1.13 -0.41
Tue 29/04 Malmö FF 0.28 2.19 -1.91 -0.66
Sun 04/05 Hammarby IF 0.78 1.66 -0.88 -0.69
Sun 11/05 IF Elfsborg 0.94 3.40 -2.46 -0.91
Thu 15/05 IFK Göteborg 0.63 1.14 -0.51 -0.87
Sun 18/05 GAIS 0.84 1.31 -0.47 -0.83
Sat 24/05 IFK Värnamo 1.15 0.51 +0.64 -0.70
Sat 31/05 Degerfors IF 0.58 2.27 -1.69 -0.78
Sat 28/06 IK Sirius 1.30 3.01 -1.71 -0.85
Sat 05/07 Mjällby AIF 1.28 1.42 -0.14 -0.80
Sun 13/07 IF Brommapojkarna 0.85 1.69 -0.84 -0.80
Sat 19/07 Malmö FF 1.82 1.56 +0.26 -0.74
Sun 27/07 AIK 0.49 0.74 -0.25 -0.71
Sun 03/08 IK Sirius 1.18 2.77 -1.59 -0.76
Sun 10/08 IF Brommapojkarna 1.40 1.12 +0.28 -0.70
Sun 17/08 BK Häcken 1.18 2.18 -1.00 -0.72
Mon 25/08 IFK Norrköping 1.84 1.54 +0.30 -0.67
Sun 31/08 Hammarby IF 0.86 2.27 -1.41 -0.70
Sun 14/09 IFK Värnamo 2.61 1.59 +1.02 -0.63
Sat 20/09 Mjällby AIF 0.59 1.34 -0.75 -0.63
Mon 29/09 IFK Göteborg 0.27 3.40 -3.13 -0.73
Sat 04/10 Halmstads BK 2.09 0.98 +1.11 -0.66
Sun 19/10 IF Elfsborg 1.12 2.77 -1.65 -0.70
Sun 02/11 GAIS 1.77 2.16 -0.39 -0.69
Sun 09/11 Djurgårdens IF 1.74 1.22 +0.52 -0.65

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.14 npxG and 1.78 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 30 league matches
Last 5
tied number 6 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 30 matches · number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.26
  2. GAIS Away +0.44
  3. Degerfors IF Home +0.01
  4. IF Elfsborg Away −0.29
  5. Halmstads BK Home −0.29
  6. IFK Göteborg Home 0.00
  7. Mjällby AIF Away +0.37
  8. IFK Värnamo Home −0.82
  9. Hammarby IF Away +0.51
  10. IFK Norrköping Home −0.36
  11. BK Häcken Away +0.35
  12. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  13. IK Sirius Away +0.57
  14. AIK Away +0.05
  15. Malmö FF Home +0.40
  16. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  17. Mjällby AIF Home +0.37
  18. IK Sirius Home +0.57
  19. Degerfors IF Away +0.01
  20. IFK Värnamo Away −0.82
  21. GAIS Home +0.44
  22. IFK Göteborg Away 0.00
  23. IF Elfsborg Home −0.29
  24. Hammarby IF Home +0.51
  25. Malmö FF Away +0.40
  26. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.26
  27. AIK Home +0.05
  28. Halmstads BK Away −0.29
  29. BK Häcken Home +0.35
  30. IFK Norrköping Away −0.36

Last 5

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 16

  1. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.26
  2. GAIS Away +0.44
  3. Degerfors IF Home +0.01
  4. IF Elfsborg Away −0.29
  5. Halmstads BK Home −0.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Östers IF shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Östers IF take 9.8 shots a match (league 13.6) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #16 in Allsvenskan for volume and #4 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.8 shots per match
#16/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 17.2
#2 GAIS 16.2
#3 Malmö FF 15.9
#4 BK Häcken 15.4
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 Mjällby AIF 14.5
#7 Djurgårdens IF 14.2
#8 IFK Göteborg 14.0
#9 IFK Värnamo 13.2
#10 IF Elfsborg 12.9
#11 AIK 12.8
#12 Degerfors IF 12.7
#13 IF Brommapojkarna 12.6
#14 IFK Norrköping 12.0
#15 Halmstads BK 10.1
#16 Östers IF 9.8
League avg
13.6
Total
285 shots from 29 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#4/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.12
#2 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#3 BK Häcken 0.12
#4 Östers IF 0.12
#5 Halmstads BK 0.11
#6 Malmö FF 0.11
#7 Mjällby AIF 0.11
#8 Degerfors IF 0.11
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#10 IFK Norrköping 0.11
#11 GAIS 0.11
#12 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#13 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#14 Hammarby IF 0.10
#15 AIK 0.10
#16 IFK Värnamo 0.09
League avg
0.11
Total
33.03 npxG from 285 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.3 shots per match
#15/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 10.4
#2 AIK 11.1
#3 Malmö FF 11.3
#4 GAIS 11.6
=5 BK Häcken 12.2
=5 Mjällby AIF 12.2
#7 Djurgårdens IF 12.6
#8 IFK Göteborg 13.4
#9 Degerfors IF 13.6
#10 IK Sirius 14.1
#11 IF Elfsborg 14.8
#12 Halmstads BK 14.9
#13 IF Brommapojkarna 14.9
#14 IFK Norrköping 15.5
#15 Östers IF 17.3
#16 IFK Värnamo 18.0
League avg
13.6
Total
502 shots allowed from 29 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#6/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.09
#2 Mjällby AIF 0.10
#3 IF Brommapojkarna 0.10
#4 IK Sirius 0.10
#5 Hammarby IF 0.10
#6 Östers IF 0.10
#7 AIK 0.10
#8 Malmö FF 0.10
#9 GAIS 0.11
#10 Halmstads BK 0.11
#11 Degerfors IF 0.11
#12 IFK Norrköping 0.11
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.12
#14 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#15 IFK Värnamo 0.12
#16 BK Häcken 0.13
League avg
0.11
Total
51.75 npxGA from 502 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 188 of 285 shots over 29 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 312 of 502 shots allowed over 29 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Östers IF home and away xG

Östers IF per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 15 14 with xG 15
xG / match 1.39 0.91
xGA / match 1.72 1.85
xGD / match -0.33 -0.94
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.24 0.71

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Östers IF match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
30 29 with xG
xG / match
1.14
xGA / match
1.78
xGD / match
-0.65
Points
26 of 90
  1. Sun 09/11 Djurgårdens IF H xG 1.74 xGA 1.22 xGD +0.52
  2. Sun 02/11 GAIS A xG 1.77 xGA 2.16 xGD -0.39
  3. Sat 25/10 Degerfors IF H
  4. Sun 19/10 IF Elfsborg A xG 1.12 xGA 2.77 xGD -1.65
  5. Sat 04/10 Halmstads BK H Best underlying xG 2.09 xGA 0.98 xGD +1.11
  6. Mon 29/09 IFK Göteborg H Weakest underlying xG 0.27 xGA 3.40 xGD -3.13
  7. Sat 20/09 Mjällby AIF A xG 0.59 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.75
  8. Sun 14/09 IFK Värnamo H xG 2.61 xGA 1.59 xGD +1.02
  9. Sun 31/08 Hammarby IF A xG 0.86 xGA 2.27 xGD -1.41
  10. Mon 25/08 IFK Norrköping H xG 1.84 xGA 1.54 xGD +0.30
  11. Sun 17/08 BK Häcken A Against the chances xG 1.18 xGA 2.18 xGD -1.00
  12. Sun 10/08 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 1.40 xGA 1.12 xGD +0.28
  13. Sun 03/08 IK Sirius A xG 1.18 xGA 2.77 xGD -1.59
  14. Sun 27/07 AIK A xG 0.49 xGA 0.74 xGD -0.25
  15. Sat 19/07 Malmö FF H xG 1.82 xGA 1.56 xGD +0.26
  16. Sun 13/07 IF Brommapojkarna A xG 0.85 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.84
  17. Sat 05/07 Mjällby AIF H xG 1.28 xGA 1.42 xGD -0.14
  18. Sat 28/06 IK Sirius H xG 1.30 xGA 3.01 xGD -1.71
  19. Sat 31/05 Degerfors IF A Against the chances xG 0.58 xGA 2.27 xGD -1.69
  20. Sat 24/05 IFK Värnamo A xG 1.15 xGA 0.51 xGD +0.64
  21. Sun 18/05 GAIS H xG 0.84 xGA 1.31 xGD -0.47
  22. Thu 15/05 IFK Göteborg A xG 0.63 xGA 1.14 xGD -0.51
  23. Sun 11/05 IF Elfsborg H xG 0.94 xGA 3.40 xGD -2.46
  24. Sun 04/05 Hammarby IF H xG 0.78 xGA 1.66 xGD -0.88
  25. Tue 29/04 Malmö FF A xG 0.28 xGA 2.19 xGD -1.91
  26. Thu 24/04 Djurgårdens IF A xG 0.22 xGA 1.35 xGD -1.13
  27. Sun 20/04 AIK H xG 0.57 xGA 0.74 xGD -0.17
  28. Mon 14/04 Halmstads BK A xG 0.61 xGA 1.25 xGD -0.64
  29. Sat 05/04 BK Häcken H xG 1.97 xGA 1.11 xGD +0.86
  30. Sun 30/03 IFK Norrköping A xG 2.07 xGA 3.06 xGD -0.99

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.40. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Östers IF in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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