Saturday, 29/08/2026 at 17:00
Full timeGrazer AK 1902 0:0 Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK 1902 were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 40%. It finished 0–0. The biggest difference was Wolfsberger AC's attack: 0.09 xG against 1.21 projected (−1.12). Grazer AK 1902 produced 2.14 xG against 1.41 projected (+0.73).
The model against the result
- Grazer AK 1902
- 40%
- Draw
- 31% What happened
- Wolfsberger AC
- 30%
Data coverage Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Projected vs produced
Wolfsberger AC produced 1.12 xG less than projected
Projected before kick-off Produced on the night
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 26
- 5
- On target
- 7
- 1
- Inside the box
- 17
- 1
- xG per shot
- 0.08
- 0.02
- Open play xG
- 0.87
- 0.06
- Set-piece xG
- 1.10
- 0.02
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.97 for Grazer AK 1902 and 0.08 for Wolfsberger AC.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
31 shots · 2.05 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Grazer AK 1902
- Wolfsberger AC
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.27 xG created 1.94 xGA
- D 0.92 created, 0.76 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach
- W 2.06 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Blau Weiss Linz
- L 0.99 created, 2.31 conceded against LASK
- W 1.65 created, 0.56 conceded against SC Austria Lustenau
- L 0.76 created, 5.49 conceded against SK Rapid Wien
- L 1.24 created, 1.75 conceded against SV Ried
1.66 xG created 1.60 xGA
- W 3.30 created, 0.54 conceded against SV Ried
- W 1.26 created, 0.30 conceded against WSG Tirol
- L 0.34 created, 1.73 conceded against SV Ried
- W 2.80 created, 0.35 conceded against Austria Wien
- D 0.93 created, 3.52 conceded against Red Bull Salzburg
- L 1.33 created, 3.13 conceded against SC Austria Lustenau
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Grazer AK 1902 sample
- 20 matches
- Wolfsberger AC sample
- 20 matches
- Computed
- 7 hours before kick-off
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.