xgEdge

Expected goals

Grazer AK 1902 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Grazer AK 1902's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Grazer AK 1902 xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.14 xG per match
#9/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
7.97 7 matches
Defence
1.75 xGA per match
#7/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
12.27 7 matches
xG difference
-0.61 xGD per match
#8/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
-4.30 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.20 xPts per match
#8/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
8.43 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Grazer AK 1902's underlying numbers sit close to the Austrian Bundesliga average. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.61 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 6 goals are 1.97 below 7.97 xG, while 8 points are 0.43 below 8.43 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.84 xG from penalties
6 7.97 -1.97 scored 1.97 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
16 12.27 +3.73 conceded 3.73 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 8.43 -0.43 0.43 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Grazer AK 1902 are 1.97 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -4.78, against Wolfsberger AC on Sat 29/08.

Goals
6
xG
7.97
Gap
-1.97
Fri 31/07 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.99 -0.64 -1.40 -2.64 -4.78 -3.17 -1.97 -0.99 +0.35 -0.76 -1.24 -2.14 +1.61 +1.20 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Grazer AK 1902: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 31/07 LASK 0 0.99 -0.99 -0.99
Sat 08/08 SC Austria Lustenau 2 1.65 +0.35 -0.64
Sun 16/08 SK Rapid Wien 0 0.76 -0.76 -1.40
Fri 21/08 SV Ried 0 1.24 -1.24 -2.64
Sat 29/08 Wolfsberger AC 0 2.14 -2.14 -4.78
Sat 12/09 SC Rheindorf Altach 2 0.39 +1.61 -3.17
Sat 19/09 Austria Wien 2 0.80 +1.20 -1.97

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Grazer AK 1902 xG trend

Current form -0.54 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against SK Rapid Wien on Sun 16/08 (-5.12).

npxG · last 6
1.03
npxGA · last 6
1.57
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.72 Fri 31/07 +0.96 Sat 08/08 -5.12 Sun 16/08 -0.03 Fri 21/08 +1.89 Sat 29/08 -0.94 Sat 12/09 -0.01 Sat 19/09 -0.57 season avg
Grazer AK 1902: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 31/07 LASK 0.95 1.67 -0.72 -0.72
Sat 08/08 SC Austria Lustenau 1.49 0.53 +0.96 +0.12
Sun 16/08 SK Rapid Wien 0.76 5.88 -5.12 -1.63
Fri 21/08 SV Ried 0.83 0.86 -0.03 -1.23
Sat 29/08 Wolfsberger AC 1.97 0.08 +1.89 -0.60
Sat 12/09 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.33 1.27 -0.94 -0.66
Sat 19/09 Austria Wien 0.80 0.81 -0.01 -0.57

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.02 npxG and 1.59 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 7 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 11 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 7 hardest of 12

  1. Austria Wien Home −0.22
  2. SC Rheindorf Altach Away −0.18
  3. Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
  4. SV Ried Away −0.17
  5. SK Rapid Wien Away +0.30
  6. SC Austria Lustenau Home −0.24
  7. LASK Away +0.91

Last 5

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 12

  1. Austria Wien Home −0.22
  2. SC Rheindorf Altach Away −0.18
  3. Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
  4. SV Ried Away −0.17
  5. SK Rapid Wien Away +0.30

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Grazer AK 1902 shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Grazer AK 1902 take 12.7 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #7 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #11 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 39% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.7 shots per match
#7/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
89 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#11/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
7.13 npxG from 89 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.1 shots per match
#9/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
113 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#8/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
11.10 npxGA from 113 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 55 of 89 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 62 of 113 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

61% open play · 39% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.8 of 7.1 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.9 of 11.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Grazer AK 1902 home and away xG

Grazer AK 1902 per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.53 0.85
xGA / match 0.49 2.70
xGD / match +1.04 -1.85
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.12 0.51

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Grazer AK 1902 match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.14
xGA / match
1.75
xGD / match
-0.61
Points
8 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 Austria Wien H xG 0.80 xGA 0.83 xGD -0.03
  2. Sat 12/09 SC Rheindorf Altach A xG 0.39 xGA 1.24 xGD -0.85
  3. Sat 29/08 Wolfsberger AC H Best underlying xG 2.14 xGA 0.09 xGD +2.05
  4. Fri 21/08 SV Ried A xG 1.24 xGA 1.75 P xGD -0.51
  5. Sun 16/08 SK Rapid Wien A Weakest underlying xG 0.76 xGA 5.49 xGD -4.73
  6. Sat 08/08 SC Austria Lustenau H xG 1.65 xGA 0.56 xGD +1.09
  7. Fri 31/07 LASK A xG 0.99 xGA 2.31 P xGD -1.32

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 5.49. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Grazer AK 1902 in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect