1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 FC Augsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim Home 1.24 xG · 11 shots

FC Augsburg Away 0.82 xG · 8 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

47' Mikkel Kaufmann 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
54' Sirlord Conteh 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.35 xG chance 2–0
90' Phillip Tietz FC Augsburg · 0.34 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim FC Augsburg

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.72; 0.67
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

1. FC Heidenheim's shots add up to 1.23 xG and FC Augsburg's to 0.75; the published figures are 1.24 and 0.82.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 1.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Heidenheim

1.28 xG created 2.45 xGA

L 0.72 created, 2.45 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.02 created, 2.23 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 0.40 created, 2.76 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 2.98 created, 2.35 conceded against Hamburger SV

FC Augsburg

0.94 xG created 2.82 xGA

W 1.34 created, 2.60 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.51 created, 4.24 conceded against FC Bayern München
L 0.78 created, 1.90 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 1.12 created, 2.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.