FC Augsburg 1:4 1. FSV Mainz 05: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg Home 1.12 xG · 18 shots

1. FSV Mainz 05 Away 2.52 xG · 12 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

14' Kaishu Sano 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
26' Dominik Kohr 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.46 xG chance 0–2
60' Paul Nebel 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.89 xG chance 0–3
69' Armindo Sieb 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.33 xG chance 0–4
83' Samuel Essende FC Augsburg · 0.08 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05

Shots: 18; 12
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 11; 11
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.59; 2.24
Set-piece xG: 0.57; 0.29
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.12 for FC Augsburg and 2.52 for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.69 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Augsburg
1. FSV Mainz 05
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Augsburg

0.88 xG created 2.91 xGA

W 1.34 created, 2.60 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.51 created, 4.24 conceded against FC Bayern München
L 0.78 created, 1.90 conceded against FC St. Pauli

1. FSV Mainz 05

1.46 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 1.95 created, 0.62 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.90 created, 1.79 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.