1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 SV Werder Bremen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim Home 3.00 xG · 31 shots

SV Werder Bremen Away 1.33 xG · 11 shots

22 1. FC Heidenheim had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

50' Marco Grüll SV Werder Bremen · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
67' Stefan Schimmer 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.23 xG chance 1–1
69' Jens Stage SV Werder Bremen · 0.46 xG chance 1–2
83' Jonas Föhrenbach 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.18 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim SV Werder Bremen

Shots: 31; 11
On target: 11; 4
Inside the box: 17; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.81; 1.20
Set-piece xG: 1.23; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.00 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 1.34 for SV Werder Bremen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

42 shots · 4.40 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Heidenheim
SV Werder Bremen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Heidenheim

1.12 xG created 1.93 xGA

L 0.72 created, 2.45 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.02 created, 2.23 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 0.40 created, 2.76 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 2.98 created, 2.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 1.24 created, 0.82 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.38 created, 0.99 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

SV Werder Bremen

1.45 xG created 2.16 xGA

L 0.53 created, 2.74 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 2.59 created, 2.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 2.09 created, 1.48 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.22 created, 2.42 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.41 created, 3.46 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.86 created, 0.76 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.