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Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:4 VfB Stuttgart

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Home 1.96 xG · 16 shots
VfB Stuttgart Away 2.60 xG · 10 shots
14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 7' Jamie Leweling VfB Stuttgart · 0.66 xG chance 0–1
  2. 29' Maximilian Mittelstädt (pen.) VfB Stuttgart · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
  3. 45' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.15 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
  4. 45' Jamie Leweling VfB Stuttgart · 0.05 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
  5. 66' Alejandro Grimaldo (pen.) Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.82 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart
Shots
16
10
On target
4
7
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.12
0.27
Open play xG
1.16
1.83
Set-piece xG
—
—
Penalties
1
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.17 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.82 for VfB Stuttgart.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

VfB Stuttgart · Maximilian Mittelstädt · 29' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 66' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jamie Leweling · 7' · Goal · 8 m · 0.66 xG VfB Stuttgart · Josha Vagnoman · 2' · No goal · 5 m · 0.52 xG VfB Stuttgart · Josha Vagnoman · 13' · No goal · 5 m · 0.23 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ezequiel Fernández · 31' · No goal · 15 m · 0.16 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 45' · Goal · 13 m · 0.15 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Martin Terrier · 38' · No goal · 9 m · 0.13 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Martin Terrier · 54' · No goal · 14 m · 0.13 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ernest Poku · 58' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 14' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Martin Terrier · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Malik Tillman · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Malik Tillman · 17' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Arthur · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jamie Leweling · 45' · Goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Angelo Stiller · 49' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 55' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ernest Poku · 56' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 31' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Nathan Tella · 33' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Arthur · 40' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 46' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Aleix García · 88' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 52' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

26 shots · 4.63 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.94 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • W 3.31 created, 0.12 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.10 created, 2.13 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 0.82 created, 0.99 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 1.63 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • W 2.07 created, 0.20 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 2.72 created, 1.77 conceded against RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart

1.50 xG created 1.75 xGA

  • W 2.35 created, 1.93 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • D 1.55 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 0.75 created, 0.98 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • L 0.88 created, 3.54 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 2.17 created, 0.91 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 1.27 created, 0.13 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.