xgEdge

Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 2:1 VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV Home 0.98 xG · 9 shots
VfB Stuttgart Away 0.75 xG · 14 shots
21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 17' Robert Glatzel Hamburger SV · 0.24 xG chance 1–0
  2. 54' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.18 xG chance 1–1
  3. 90' Fábio Vieira Hamburger SV · 0.28 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
Shots
9
14
On target
2
3
Inside the box
8
7
xG per shot
0.11
0.05
Open play xG
0.82
0.57
Set-piece xG
0.18
0.17
Penalties
—
—

Hamburger SV's shots add up to 1.00 xG and VfB Stuttgart's to 0.74; the published figures are 0.98 and 0.75.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Hamburger SV · Fábio Vieira · 90' · Goal · 12 m · 0.28 xG Hamburger SV · Robert Glatzel · 17' · Goal · 12 m · 0.24 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 54' · Goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Hamburger SV · Luka Vušković · 73' · No goal · 6 m · 0.14 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 69' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ramon Hendriks · 49' · No goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG VfB Stuttgart · Badredine Bouanani · 6' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 34' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 57' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chema Andrés · 44' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 80' · No goal · 3 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chema Andrés · 88' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Bilal El Khannouss · 20' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · Rayan Philippe · 25' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · Miro Muheim · 46' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · Giorgi Gocholeishvili · 69' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · Luka Vušković · 77' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG VfB Stuttgart · Bilal El Khannouss · 62' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jamie Leweling · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Pascal Stenzel · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG VfB Stuttgart · Badredine Bouanani · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jamie Leweling · 54' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG VfB Stuttgart · Nikolas Nartey · 12' · No goal · 20 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 1.74 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Hamburger SV
  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hamburger SV

1.54 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • W 1.91 created, 0.67 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 1.53 created, 1.06 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 2.77 created, 0.37 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 1.09 created, 3.72 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • D 0.57 created, 1.03 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 1.36 created, 1.70 conceded against FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart

1.70 xG created 1.53 xGA

  • W 0.99 created, 0.38 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.90 created, 0.32 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 1.94 created, 1.45 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 1.49 created, 2.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • W 2.35 created, 1.93 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • D 1.55 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.