FC St. Pauli 1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli Home 0.82 xG · 13 shots

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 0.69 xG · 5 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

25' Edmond Tapsoba Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
32' Hauke Wahl FC St. Pauli · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
58' Ernest Poku Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.33 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Shots: 13; 5
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.38; 0.63
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shots add up to 0.84 xG; the published figure is 0.69.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC St. Pauli

1.40 xG created 1.20 xGA

D 1.29 created, 1.56 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 1.44 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 1.90 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.95 created, 2.11 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.63 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 0.71 created, 0.45 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 2.10 created, 2.59 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 2.11 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.58 created, 0.76 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.