xgEdge

Every Bundesliga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 13/02/2027

3 matches
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.90 – 1.15
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.50
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.59
    →

Saturday, 20/02/2027

9 matches
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.60
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.08 – 1.26
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.69
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.29
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.71
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.05 – 1.31
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.80
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 3.00 – 1.13
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.38
    →

Saturday, 27/02/2027

9 matches
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.25 – 1.20
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.00 – 1.26
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.56
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.02 – 1.62
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.24 – 1.20
    Clear favourite
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.22 – 1.24
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.23
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.80
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.97 – 0.96
    Clear favourite
    →

Wednesday, 03/03/2027

9 matches
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.53
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.68
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.10 – 1.29
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.21 – 1.14
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.42
    Tight
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.89 – 1.54
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.93
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.85
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.32
    →

Saturday, 06/03/2027

9 matches
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.52
    Tight
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.22 – 1.29
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.26 – 1.25
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.38
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.78
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.39 – 1.17
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.28
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.05 – 1.22
    Clear favourite
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.19
    →

Saturday, 13/03/2027

9 matches
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.55
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.64
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.28
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 2.10
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.30
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.47
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.76
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.32 – 1.26
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.16 – 1.24
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 20/03/2027

2 matches
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.94
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.08 – 1.23
    Clear favourite
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.