Wednesday, 04/03/2026 at 20:30
Full timeHamburger SV 0:1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Goals
- 73' Christian Kofane Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.24 xG chance 0–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 10
- 14
- On target
- 3
- 4
- Inside the box
- 8
- 11
- xG per shot
- 0.15
- 0.14
- Open play xG
- 1.33
- 1.60
- Set-piece xG
- 0.12
- 0.32
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Hamburger SV and 1.93 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 3.37 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Hamburger SV
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.19 xG created 1.75 xGA
- D 0.35 created, 0.26 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- D 2.26 created, 2.35 conceded against FC Bayern München
- W 1.48 created, 1.53 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
- W 1.82 created, 2.11 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
- D 0.70 created, 1.53 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
- L 0.55 created, 2.70 conceded against RB Leipzig
1.31 xG created 0.73 xGA
- W 2.56 created, 0.70 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
- W 0.89 created, 1.21 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- D 0.80 created, 0.60 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- W 1.40 created, 0.49 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- L 0.95 created, 0.64 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
- D 1.23 created, 0.73 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.