Friday, 20/02/2026 at 20:30
Full time1. FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Hamburger SV
Goals
- 42' Nadiem Amiri 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
- 64' Fábio Vieira Hamburger SV · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 17
- 14
- On target
- 3
- 5
- Inside the box
- 14
- 5
- xG per shot
- 0.09
- 0.05
- Open play xG
- 0.67
- 0.58
- Set-piece xG
- 0.86
- 0.13
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.70 for Hamburger SV.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
31 shots · 2.24 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Hamburger SV
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
2.19 xG created 1.37 xGA
- W 1.39 created, 1.55 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
- L 1.52 created, 2.08 conceded against 1. FC Köln
- W 4.04 created, 0.67 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
- W 2.33 created, 1.43 conceded against RB Leipzig
- W 2.31 created, 0.70 conceded against FC Augsburg
- L 1.52 created, 1.80 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
1.29 xG created 1.60 xGA
- L 0.66 created, 2.85 conceded against SC Freiburg
- D 1.19 created, 0.47 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- D 0.35 created, 0.26 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- D 2.26 created, 2.35 conceded against FC Bayern München
- W 1.48 created, 1.53 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
- W 1.82 created, 2.11 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
Show Hide
The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.