xgEdge

Wednesday, 14/01/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:0 SC Freiburg

RB Leipzig Home 2.48 xG · 21 shots
SC Freiburg Away 0.17 xG · 3 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 53' Willi Orbán RB Leipzig · 0.22 xG chance 1–0
  2. 56' Rômulo RB Leipzig · 0.73 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

RB Leipzig SC Freiburg
Shots
21
3
On target
7
1
Inside the box
19
3
xG per shot
0.12
0.05
Open play xG
1.18
0.00
Set-piece xG
1.38
0.16
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.53 for RB Leipzig and 0.17 for SC Freiburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

RB Leipzig · Rômulo · 56' · Goal · 4 m · 0.73 xG RB Leipzig · Nicolas Seiwald · 31' · No goal · 7 m · 0.48 xG RB Leipzig · Willi Orbán · 53' · Goal · 5 m · 0.22 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 67' · No goal · 12 m · 0.15 xG RB Leipzig · Rômulo · 6' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 67' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG RB Leipzig · Ridle Baku · 81' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG SC Freiburg · Lukas Kübler · 48' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG RB Leipzig · Tidiam Gomis · 55' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG RB Leipzig · Conrad Harder · 82' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG RB Leipzig · Antonio Nusa · 78' · No goal · 23 m · 0.07 xG RB Leipzig · Xaver Schlager · 82' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 56' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG RB Leipzig · Xaver Schlager · 59' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG SC Freiburg · Lukas Kübler · 72' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG RB Leipzig · Nicolas Seiwald · 73' · No goal · 2 m · 0.05 xG RB Leipzig · Ezechiel Banzuzi · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG RB Leipzig · Willi Orbán · 35' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 39' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG SC Freiburg · Maximilian Eggestein · 20' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG RB Leipzig · Antonio Nusa · 75' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG RB Leipzig · Nicolas Seiwald · 41' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG RB Leipzig · Antonio Nusa · 69' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG RB Leipzig · Antonio Nusa · 80' · No goal · 4 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

24 shots · 2.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • RB Leipzig
  • SC Freiburg
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
RB Leipzig

1.81 xG created 1.31 xGA

  • L 1.81 created, 1.82 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • W 2.10 created, 0.80 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 0.93 created, 0.42 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • W 3.70 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • L 0.55 created, 1.42 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 1.77 created, 2.72 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg

2.32 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • L 0.57 created, 3.03 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 4.60 created, 0.11 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.84 created, 2.22 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • D 1.50 created, 0.93 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • W 3.53 created, 1.66 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 2.85 created, 0.66 conceded against Hamburger SV

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.