VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 SC Freiburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 1.66 xG · 13 shots

SC Freiburg Away 3.53 xG · 16 shots

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Philipp Treu SC Freiburg · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
13' Dženan Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
49' Dženan Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg · 0.68 xG chance 2–1
56' Vincenzo Grifo (pen.) SC Freiburg · 0.82 xG chance 2–2
69' Dženan Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg · 0.42 xG chance 3–2
71' Jenson Seelt (o.g.) SC Freiburg · 0.29 xG chance 3–3
78' Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg · 0.04 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg SC Freiburg

Shots: 13; 16
On target: 6; 9
Inside the box: 9; 12
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.25
Open play xG: 1.60; 1.32
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 1.81
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.90 for SC Freiburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 5.61 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.44 xG created 1.35 xGA

L 1.54 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.57 created, 1.45 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 2.13 created, 1.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.86 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 0.81 created, 1.92 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.72 created, 0.80 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

SC Freiburg

1.62 xG created 1.33 xGA

D 1.17 created, 1.16 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.02 created, 0.53 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.57 created, 3.03 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 4.60 created, 0.11 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 0.84 created, 2.22 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 1.50 created, 0.93 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.