TSG Hoffenheim 1:4 FC Bayern München: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim Home 0.75 xG · 13 shots

FC Bayern München Away 3.04 xG · 18 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

44' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
48' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
77' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 0–3
82' Vladimír Coufal TSG Hoffenheim · 0.05 xG chance 1–3
90' Serge Gnabry FC Bayern München · 0.05 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim FC Bayern München

Shots: 13; 18
On target: 4; 10
Inside the box: 9; 10
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.60; 1.07
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.35
Penalties: 0; 2

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.46 for FC Bayern München.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

TSG Hoffenheim
FC Bayern München
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

TSG Hoffenheim

1.53 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 0.45 created, 0.71 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 1.37 created, 1.56 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.76 created, 2.59 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

FC Bayern München

2.80 xG created 0.54 xGA

W 1.63 created, 0.54 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 4.24 created, 0.51 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 2.54 created, 0.58 conceded against Hamburger SV

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.