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Saturday, 09/05/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

VfB Stuttgart Home 3.04 xG · 20 shots
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 0.54 xG · 6 shots
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 1' Aleix García Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.26 xG chance 0–1
  2. 5' Ermedin Demirović VfB Stuttgart · 0.12 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Maximilian Mittelstädt (pen.) VfB Stuttgart · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
  4. 58' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.47 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots
20
6
On target
9
5
Inside the box
13
4
xG per shot
0.14
0.10
Open play xG
1.77
0.58
Set-piece xG
0.17
0.00
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.00 for VfB Stuttgart and 0.56 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

VfB Stuttgart · Maximilian Mittelstädt · 45' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 58' · Goal · 6 m · 0.47 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.38 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Aleix García · 1' · Goal · 9 m · 0.26 xG VfB Stuttgart · Maximilian Mittelstädt · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 43' · No goal · 9 m · 0.14 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 5' · Goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Malik Tillman · 85' · No goal · 14 m · 0.11 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ibrahim Maza · 17' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Christian Kofane · 31' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG VfB Stuttgart · Maximilian Mittelstädt · 7' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 11' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jeff Chabot · 56' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jamie Leweling · 63' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 3' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 18' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Montrell Culbreath · 22' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 44' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 25' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 31' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 40' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Angelo Stiller · 53' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 89' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chris Führich · 63' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

26 shots · 3.34 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
VfB Stuttgart

2.10 xG created 1.74 xGA

  • W 3.77 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • L 0.58 created, 0.50 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • W 3.48 created, 0.71 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • L 1.35 created, 4.61 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 1.82 created, 0.93 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 1.57 created, 2.47 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2.68 xG created 1.74 xGA

  • D 1.62 created, 1.57 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 4.25 created, 2.02 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 0.63 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 3.80 created, 1.33 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • W 1.33 created, 3.04 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 4.42 created, 1.17 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

VfB Stuttgart: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.