xgEdge

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Bolton Wanderers 2:1 Preston North End

Bolton Wanderers Home 1.10 xG · 15 shots
Preston North End Away 1.12 xG · 10 shots
21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 14' Sam Dalby Bolton Wanderers · 0.25 xG chance 1–0
  2. 25' Thierry Gale Bolton Wanderers · 0.06 xG chance 2–0
  3. 86' Jusef Erabi Preston North End · 0.16 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Bolton Wanderers Preston North End
Shots
15
10
On target
6
3
Inside the box
7
9
xG per shot
0.07
0.14
Open play xG
0.90
1.21
Set-piece xG
0.22
0.19
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.11 for Bolton Wanderers and 1.41 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Preston North End · Liam Lindsay · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.48 xG Bolton Wanderers · Sam Dalby · 74' · No goal · 11 m · 0.32 xG Preston North End · Milutin Osmajić · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.28 xG Bolton Wanderers · Sam Dalby · 14' · Goal · 16 m · 0.25 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 86' · Goal · 7 m · 0.16 xG Preston North End · Liam Lindsay · 89' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Bolton Wanderers · Luca Stephenson · 68' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Bolton Wanderers · Thierry Gale · 60' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Preston North End · Callum Lang · 59' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Preston North End · Delano Burgzorg · 37' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Bolton Wanderers · Chris Forino · 20' · No goal · 5 m · 0.07 xG Bolton Wanderers · Thierry Gale · 25' · Goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 50' · No goal · 25 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 51' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Bolton Wanderers · Thierry Gale · 54' · No goal · 27 m · 0.04 xG Bolton Wanderers · Josh Sheehan · 20' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Bolton Wanderers · John McAtee · 14' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Andrew Hughes · 38' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Bolton Wanderers · Gaizka Larrazabal · 56' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Bolton Wanderers · Josh Sheehan · 68' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Bolton Wanderers · Josh Sheehan · 20' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Bolton Wanderers · John McAtee · 50' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Bolton Wanderers · Josh Sheehan · 18' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Bolton Wanderers · John McAtee · 39' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

25 shots · 2.52 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bolton Wanderers
  • Preston North End
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bolton Wanderers

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

Preston North End

1.75 xG created 1.89 xGA

  • D 0.63 created, 0.94 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.32 created, 1.32 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 1.29 created, 1.66 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 2.37 created, 1.95 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 2.98 created, 3.05 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 1.91 created, 2.41 conceded against Southampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.