xgEdge

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Bristol City 4:2 Hull City

Bristol City Home 3.49 xG · 29 shots
Hull City Away 2.60 xG · 20 shots
42 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 3' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.42 xG chance 0–1
  2. 18' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.51 xG chance 1–1
  3. 32' Anis Mehmeti Bristol City · 0.40 xG chance 2–1
  4. 42' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.44 xG chance 3–1
  5. 78' Max Bird Bristol City · 0.24 xG chance 4–1
  6. 90' Kyle Joseph Hull City · 0.22 xG chance 4–2

The shots behind it

Bristol City Hull City
Shots
29
20
On target
5
9
Inside the box
21
16
xG per shot
0.12
0.13
Open play xG
3.30
2.47
Set-piece xG
0.15
0.15
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.48 for Bristol City and 2.60 for Hull City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 18' · Goal · 4 m · 0.51 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 60' · No goal · 11 m · 0.51 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 42' · Goal · 15 m · 0.44 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 3' · Goal · 12 m · 0.42 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 32' · Goal · 5 m · 0.40 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 59' · No goal · 6 m · 0.35 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 65' · No goal · 5 m · 0.33 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 87' · No goal · 7 m · 0.27 xG Bristol City · Max Bird · 78' · Goal · 11 m · 0.24 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 90' · Goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG Bristol City · Mark Sykes · 10' · No goal · 1 m · 0.19 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 37' · No goal · 12 m · 0.14 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 66' · No goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Hull City · Kasey Palmer · 81' · No goal · 15 m · 0.12 xG Hull City · Mohamed Belloumi · 83' · No goal · 16 m · 0.12 xG Hull City · David Akintola · 49' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Hull City · Regan Slater · 51' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 16' · No goal · 14 m · 0.09 xG Bristol City · Fally Mayulu · 85' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 36' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 70' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 23' · No goal · 17 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 19' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 18' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Mohamed Belloumi · 81' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 70' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 9' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 45' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Charlie Hughes · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 70' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 30' · No goal · 25 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 37' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Hull City · Joel Ndala · 39' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 13' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 75' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Max Bird · 88' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 11' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Hull City · Cody Drameh · 59' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 73' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 6' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 38' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 53' · No goal · 4 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Adam Randell · 75' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 46' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Hull City · Mohamed Belloumi · 74' · No goal · 31 m · 0.01 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 77' · No goal · 20 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

49 shots · 6.07 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bristol City
  • Hull City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bristol City

0.93 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • W 1.30 created, 2.30 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.73 created, 0.96 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 0.76 created, 0.47 conceded against Derby County
Hull City

0.95 xG created 1.83 xGA

  • D 0.43 created, 1.43 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 1.91 created, 1.02 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 0.52 created, 3.03 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.