xgEdge

Sunday, 17/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Hull City 3:2 Oxford United

Hull City Home 1.91 xG · 19 shots
Oxford United Away 1.02 xG · 11 shots
32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 2' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
  2. 9' Will Lankshear Oxford United · 0.08 xG chance 1–1
  3. 20' Matt Crooks Hull City · 0.26 xG chance 2–1
  4. 26' Cameron Brannagan Oxford United · 0.05 xG chance 2–2
  5. 90' Oli McBurnie Hull City · 0.23 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Hull City Oxford United
Shots
19
11
On target
7
6
Inside the box
11
7
xG per shot
0.10
0.09
Open play xG
1.74
0.76
Set-piece xG
0.15
0.24
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.91 for Hull City and 1.02 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Siriki Dembélé · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.51 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 35' · No goal · 3 m · 0.29 xG Hull City · Matt Crooks · 20' · Goal · 8 m · 0.26 xG Hull City · Matt Crooks · 5' · No goal · 6 m · 0.24 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 90' · Goal · 9 m · 0.23 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 81' · No goal · 15 m · 0.12 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 2' · Goal · 5 m · 0.11 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 75' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 19' · No goal · 17 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 9' · Goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 69' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Hull City · Joel Ndala · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 40' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Cody Drameh · 70' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 44' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Joel Ndala · 43' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 26' · Goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Elliott Moore · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Greg Leigh · 61' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · John Egan · 33' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Hull City · Kasey Palmer · 13' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Hull City · David Akintola · 89' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 45' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Hull City · Abu Kamara · 81' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Matt Phillips · 63' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Hull City · Ryan Giles · 71' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Hull City · Kasey Palmer · 49' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 4' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 72' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 2.88 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Hull City
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hull City

0.43 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • D 0.43 created, 1.43 conceded against Coventry City
Oxford United

1.37 xG created 1.21 xGA

  • L 1.37 created, 1.21 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.