xgEdge

Expected goals

Oxford United expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Championship · after 46 matches · updated 21 Oct

Oxford United's attacking and defensive expected goals in Championship 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Oxford United xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.13 xG per match
#19/24
Attack (xG per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Coventry City 1.86
#2 Ipswich Town 1.67
#3 Southampton 1.66
#4 Sheffield United 1.56
#5 Middlesbrough 1.51
#6 Birmingham City 1.35
#7 Millwall 1.34
#8 Hull City 1.30
#9 Norwich City 1.29
#10 West Bromwich Albion 1.24
=11 Derby County 1.23
=11 Watford 1.23
#13 Bristol City 1.20
#14 Blackburn Rovers 1.20
#15 Preston North End 1.19
#16 Wrexham 1.19
#17 Leicester City 1.17
#18 Queens Park Rangers 1.17
#19 Oxford United 1.13
#20 Swansea City 1.10
#21 Portsmouth 1.10
#22 Stoke City 1.09
#23 Charlton Athletic 1.03
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 0.85
League avg
1.28
Total
52.01 46 matches
Defence
1.27 xGA per match
#15/24
Defence (xGA per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Middlesbrough 0.92
#2 Ipswich Town 1.00
#3 West Bromwich Albion 1.02
#4 Birmingham City 1.05
#5 Coventry City 1.10
#6 Watford 1.16
#7 Portsmouth 1.18
#8 Blackburn Rovers 1.19
#9 Derby County 1.19
#10 Swansea City 1.21
#11 Millwall 1.24
#12 Queens Park Rangers 1.24
#13 Sheffield United 1.25
#14 Southampton 1.26
#15 Oxford United 1.27
#16 Wrexham 1.35
#17 Charlton Athletic 1.35
#18 Norwich City 1.37
#19 Stoke City 1.38
#20 Bristol City 1.38
#21 Leicester City 1.42
#22 Preston North End 1.51
#23 Hull City 1.71
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 1.92
League avg
1.28
Total
58.23 46 matches
xG difference
-0.14 xGD per match
#16/24
xG difference (xGD per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Coventry City +0.76
#2 Ipswich Town +0.66
#3 Middlesbrough +0.59
#4 Southampton +0.40
#5 Sheffield United +0.32
#6 Birmingham City +0.30
#7 West Bromwich Albion +0.22
#8 Millwall +0.11
#9 Watford +0.07
#10 Derby County +0.03
#11 Blackburn Rovers +0.00
#12 Queens Park Rangers -0.07
#13 Norwich City -0.08
#14 Portsmouth -0.08
#15 Swansea City -0.11
#16 Oxford United -0.14
#17 Wrexham -0.16
#18 Bristol City -0.18
#19 Leicester City -0.24
#20 Stoke City -0.29
#21 Preston North End -0.32
#22 Charlton Athletic -0.33
#23 Hull City -0.41
#24 Sheffield Wednesday -1.07
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.22 46 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.25 xPts per match
#17/24
Expected points (xPts per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Ipswich Town 1.88
#2 Coventry City 1.80
#3 Middlesbrough 1.77
#4 Southampton 1.61
#5 Sheffield United 1.56
#6 Birmingham City 1.56
#7 West Bromwich Albion 1.53
#8 Millwall 1.46
#9 Watford 1.42
#10 Derby County 1.39
#11 Norwich City 1.37
#12 Blackburn Rovers 1.36
#13 Portsmouth 1.34
#14 Queens Park Rangers 1.33
#15 Wrexham 1.29
#16 Swansea City 1.28
#17 Oxford United 1.25
#18 Bristol City 1.23
#19 Charlton Athletic 1.19
#20 Leicester City 1.18
#21 Stoke City 1.18
#22 Preston North End 1.16
#23 Hull City 1.16
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 0.66
League avg
1.37
Total
57.71 vs 47 actual pts

What the xG says

Oxford United's underlying numbers sit close to the Championship average. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.14 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 45 goals are 7.01 below 52.01 xG, while 47 points are 10.71 below 57.71 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
45 52.01 -7.01 scored 7.01 fewer than xG within normal variance
59 58.23 +0.77 conceded 0.77 more than xGA within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Oxford United are 7.01 goals below their xG after 46 matches. The gap was widest at -7.64, against Wrexham on Tue 21/04.

Goals
45
xG
52.01
Gap
-7.01
Sat 09/08 Sun 17/08 Sat 23/08 Sat 30/08 Sat 13/09 Sun 21/09 Sat 27/09 Wed 01/10 Sat 04/10 Sat 18/10 Wed 22/10 Sat 25/10 Sat 01/11 Tue 04/11 Sat 08/11 Sat 22/11 Tue 25/11 Fri 28/11 Sat 06/12 Tue 09/12 Sat 13/12 Sat 20/12 Fri 26/12 Mon 29/12 Thu 01/01 Sat 17/01 Tue 20/01 Sat 24/01 Sat 31/01 Tue 03/02 Sat 07/02 Tue 10/02 Sat 21/02 Wed 25/02 Sat 28/02 Fri 06/03 Wed 11/03 Sat 14/03 Sat 21/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Tue 21/04 Sat 25/04 Sat 02/05 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 -1.37 -0.39 -0.77 +0.19 +0.09 +1.37 +0.23 -0.14 -0.52 -1.69 -1.84 -0.83 +0.54 -1.24 -1.19 -0.72 -0.54 +0.22 -1.19 -0.48 -1.05 -1.66 -0.57 -1.05 -1.13 -2.33 -3.16 -3.10 -3.56 -3.62 -3.74 -4.18 -5.00 -5.46 -4.21 -2.95 -3.11 -3.45 -4.52 -6.96 -6.31 -6.17 -6.84 -7.64 -5.92 -7.01 -1.37 +0.98 -0.38 +0.96 -0.10 +1.28 -1.14 -0.37 -0.38 -1.17 -0.15 +1.01 +1.37 -1.78 +0.05 +0.47 +0.18 +0.76 -1.41 +0.71 -0.57 -0.61 +1.09 -0.48 -0.08 -1.20 -0.83 +0.06 -0.46 -0.06 -0.12 -0.44 -0.82 -0.46 +1.25 +1.26 -0.16 -0.34 -1.07 -2.44 +0.65 +0.14 -0.67 -0.80 +1.72 -1.09 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Oxford United: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 09/08 Portsmouth 0 1.37 -1.37 -1.37
Sun 17/08 Hull City 2 1.02 +0.98 -0.39
Sat 23/08 Birmingham City 0 0.38 -0.38 -0.77
Sat 30/08 Coventry City 2 1.04 +0.96 +0.19
Sat 13/09 Leicester City 2 2.10 -0.10 +0.09
Sun 21/09 Bristol City 3 1.72 +1.28 +1.37
Sat 27/09 Sheffield United 0 1.14 -1.14 +0.23
Wed 01/10 Queens Park Rangers 0 0.37 -0.37 -0.14
Sat 04/10 Watford 1 1.38 -0.38 -0.52
Sat 18/10 Derby County 1 2.17 -1.17 -1.69
Wed 22/10 Wrexham 0 0.15 -0.15 -1.84
Sat 25/10 Sheffield Wednesday 2 0.99 +1.01 -0.83
Sat 01/11 Millwall 2 0.63 +1.37 +0.54
Tue 04/11 Stoke City 0 1.78 -1.78 -1.24
Sat 08/11 West Bromwich Albion 1 0.95 +0.05 -1.19
Sat 22/11 Middlesbrough 1 0.53 +0.47 -0.72
Tue 25/11 Norwich City 1 0.82 +0.18 -0.54
Fri 28/11 Ipswich Town 2 1.24 +0.76 +0.22
Sat 06/12 Swansea City 0 1.41 -1.41 -1.19
Tue 09/12 Blackburn Rovers 1 0.29 +0.71 -0.48
Sat 13/12 Preston North End 1 1.57 -0.57 -1.05
Sat 20/12 Charlton Athletic 0 0.61 -0.61 -1.66
Fri 26/12 Southampton 2 0.91 +1.09 -0.57
Mon 29/12 Swansea City 0 0.48 -0.48 -1.05
Thu 01/01 Ipswich Town 1 1.08 -0.08 -1.13
Sat 17/01 Bristol City 0 1.20 -1.20 -2.33
Tue 20/01 Queens Park Rangers 0 0.83 -0.83 -3.16
Sat 24/01 Leicester City 2 1.94 +0.06 -3.10
Sat 31/01 Birmingham City 0 0.46 -0.46 -3.56
Tue 03/02 Sheffield United 1 1.06 -0.06 -3.62
Sat 07/02 Coventry City 0 0.12 -0.12 -3.74
Tue 10/02 Norwich City 0 0.44 -0.44 -4.18
Sat 21/02 Middlesbrough 0 0.82 -0.82 -5.00
Wed 25/02 Stoke City 1 1.46 -0.46 -5.46
Sat 28/02 West Bromwich Albion 2 0.75 +1.25 -4.21
Fri 06/03 Preston North End 3 1.74 +1.26 -2.95
Wed 11/03 Blackburn Rovers 1 1.16 -0.16 -3.11
Sat 14/03 Charlton Athletic 1 1.34 -0.34 -3.45
Sat 21/03 Southampton 0 1.07 -1.07 -4.52
Fri 03/04 Hull City 1 3.44 -2.44 -6.96
Mon 06/04 Portsmouth 2 1.35 +0.65 -6.31
Sat 11/04 Watford 2 1.86 +0.14 -6.17
Sat 18/04 Derby County 0 0.67 -0.67 -6.84
Tue 21/04 Wrexham 0 0.80 -0.80 -7.64
Sat 25/04 Sheffield Wednesday 4 2.28 +1.72 -5.92
Sat 02/05 Millwall 0 1.09 -1.09 -7.01

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Oxford United xG trend

Current form +0.10 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 19 of 46 matches. The worst was against Coventry City on Sat 07/02 (-1.96).

npxG · last 6
1.30
npxGA · last 6
1.20
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.24 Sat 09/08 -0.89 Sun 17/08 -1.26 Sat 23/08 -0.68 Sat 30/08 +1.25 Sat 13/09 +0.63 Sun 21/09 +0.66 Sat 27/09 -0.37 Wed 01/10 -1.27 Sat 04/10 +1.98 Sat 18/10 -0.39 Wed 22/10 -0.19 Sat 25/10 -1.78 Sat 01/11 -0.59 Tue 04/11 -0.42 Sat 08/11 -0.53 Sat 22/11 -0.61 Tue 25/11 -0.45 Fri 28/11 +0.52 Sat 06/12 -1.22 Tue 09/12 +0.96 Sat 13/12 -0.49 Sat 20/12 -0.47 Fri 26/12 -0.31 Mon 29/12 -0.35 Thu 01/01 +0.75 Sat 17/01 +0.21 Tue 20/01 +1.35 Sat 24/01 +0.07 Sat 31/01 +0.08 Tue 03/02 -1.96 Sat 07/02 -1.86 Tue 10/02 -1.34 Sat 21/02 -0.05 Wed 25/02 -0.28 Sat 28/02 +0.81 Fri 06/03 +0.75 Wed 11/03 +0.41 Sat 14/03 -1.11 Sat 21/03 +1.83 Fri 03/04 +0.41 Mon 06/04 +0.92 Sat 11/04 -0.39 Sat 18/04 -0.58 Tue 21/04 +1.25 Sat 25/04 -1.00 Sat 02/05 -0.13 season avg
Oxford United: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 09/08 Portsmouth 1.50 1.26 +0.24 +0.24
Sun 17/08 Hull City 1.02 1.91 -0.89 -0.32
Sat 23/08 Birmingham City 0.39 1.65 -1.26 -0.64
Sat 30/08 Coventry City 1.06 1.74 -0.68 -0.65
Sat 13/09 Leicester City 2.10 0.85 +1.25 -0.27
Sun 21/09 Bristol City 1.72 1.09 +0.63 -0.12
Sat 27/09 Sheffield United 1.14 0.48 +0.66 -0.01
Wed 01/10 Queens Park Rangers 0.40 0.77 -0.37 -0.05
Sat 04/10 Watford 1.38 2.65 -1.27 -0.19
Sat 18/10 Derby County 2.19 0.21 +1.98 +0.03
Wed 22/10 Wrexham 0.04 0.43 -0.39 -0.01
Sat 25/10 Sheffield Wednesday 0.97 1.16 -0.19 -0.02
Sat 01/11 Millwall 0.70 2.48 -1.78 -0.16
Tue 04/11 Stoke City 1.78 2.37 -0.59 -0.19
Sat 08/11 West Bromwich Albion 1.19 1.61 -0.42 -0.21
Sat 22/11 Middlesbrough 0.53 1.06 -0.53 -0.23
Tue 25/11 Norwich City 0.82 1.43 -0.61 -0.25
Fri 28/11 Ipswich Town 1.25 1.70 -0.45 -0.26
Sat 06/12 Swansea City 1.41 0.89 +0.52 -0.22
Tue 09/12 Blackburn Rovers 0.29 1.51 -1.22 -0.27
Sat 13/12 Preston North End 1.60 0.64 +0.96 -0.21
Sat 20/12 Charlton Athletic 0.61 1.10 -0.49 -0.22
Fri 26/12 Southampton 0.97 1.44 -0.47 -0.23
Mon 29/12 Swansea City 0.48 0.79 -0.31 -0.24
Thu 01/01 Ipswich Town 1.08 1.43 -0.35 -0.24
Sat 17/01 Bristol City 1.20 0.45 +0.75 -0.20
Tue 20/01 Queens Park Rangers 0.82 0.61 +0.21 -0.19
Sat 24/01 Leicester City 1.94 0.59 +1.35 -0.13
Sat 31/01 Birmingham City 0.87 0.80 +0.07 -0.13
Tue 03/02 Sheffield United 1.08 1.00 +0.08 -0.12
Sat 07/02 Coventry City 0.13 2.09 -1.96 -0.18
Tue 10/02 Norwich City 0.45 2.31 -1.86 -0.23
Sat 21/02 Middlesbrough 0.82 2.16 -1.34 -0.26
Wed 25/02 Stoke City 1.46 1.51 -0.05 -0.26
Sat 28/02 West Bromwich Albion 0.76 1.04 -0.28 -0.26
Fri 06/03 Preston North End 1.74 0.93 +0.81 -0.23
Wed 11/03 Blackburn Rovers 1.20 0.45 +0.75 -0.20
Sat 14/03 Charlton Athletic 1.34 0.93 +0.41 -0.19
Sat 21/03 Southampton 1.07 2.18 -1.11 -0.21
Fri 03/04 Hull City 2.65 0.82 +1.83 -0.16
Mon 06/04 Portsmouth 1.35 0.94 +0.41 -0.15
Sat 11/04 Watford 1.88 0.96 +0.92 -0.12
Sat 18/04 Derby County 0.68 1.07 -0.39 -0.13
Tue 21/04 Wrexham 0.76 1.34 -0.58 -0.14
Sat 25/04 Sheffield Wednesday 2.22 0.97 +1.25 -0.11
Sat 02/05 Millwall 0.91 1.91 -1.00 -0.13

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.13 npxG and 1.25 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 24 in Championship
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 46 league matches
Last 5
number 19 hardest of 24 in Championship
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 46 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 24

  1. Millwall Away +0.09
  2. Sheffield Wednesday Home −0.74
  3. Wrexham Home +0.01
  4. Derby County Away +0.11
  5. Watford Home −0.03
  6. Portsmouth Away +0.14
  7. Hull City Home −0.24
  8. Southampton Away +0.26
  9. Charlton Athletic Home −0.30
  10. Blackburn Rovers Home −0.18
  11. Preston North End Away −0.30
  12. West Bromwich Albion Home +0.17
  13. Stoke City Away −0.32
  14. Middlesbrough Away +0.72
  15. Norwich City Home +0.27
  16. Coventry City Away +0.35
  17. Sheffield United Away +0.04
  18. Birmingham City Home +0.10
  19. Leicester City Away +0.05
  20. Queens Park Rangers Home −0.05
  21. Bristol City Home −0.28
  22. Ipswich Town Away +0.24
  23. Swansea City Home +0.02
  24. Southampton Home +0.26
  25. Charlton Athletic Away −0.30
  26. Preston North End Home −0.30
  27. Blackburn Rovers Away −0.18
  28. Swansea City Away +0.02
  29. Ipswich Town Home +0.24
  30. Norwich City Away +0.27
  31. Middlesbrough Home +0.72
  32. West Bromwich Albion Away +0.17
  33. Stoke City Home −0.32
  34. Millwall Home +0.09
  35. Sheffield Wednesday Away −0.74
  36. Wrexham Away +0.01
  37. Derby County Home +0.11
  38. Watford Away −0.03
  39. Queens Park Rangers Away −0.05
  40. Sheffield United Home +0.04
  41. Bristol City Away −0.28
  42. Leicester City Home +0.05
  43. Coventry City Home +0.35
  44. Birmingham City Away +0.10
  45. Hull City Away −0.24
  46. Portsmouth Home +0.14

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 19 hardest of 24

  1. Millwall Away +0.09
  2. Sheffield Wednesday Home −0.74
  3. Wrexham Home +0.01
  4. Derby County Away +0.11
  5. Watford Home −0.03

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Oxford United shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Oxford United take 12.0 shots a match (league 12.6) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Championship for volume and #15 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%), and set pieces produce 42% of their npxG (league 29%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.0 shots per match
#16/24
Shot volume (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Coventry City 16.2
#2 Middlesbrough 16.1
#3 Ipswich Town 14.7
#4 Southampton 14.5
#5 Watford 13.9
#6 Birmingham City 13.7
#7 Sheffield United 13.5
#8 West Bromwich Albion 13.4
#9 Millwall 12.9
#10 Leicester City 12.7
#11 Queens Park Rangers 12.7
#12 Norwich City 12.5
#13 Swansea City 12.4
#14 Bristol City 12.2
#15 Portsmouth 12.1
#16 Oxford United 12.0
#17 Blackburn Rovers 11.5
#18 Wrexham 11.3
#19 Stoke City 11.3
#20 Hull City 11.2
#21 Derby County 11.0
#22 Charlton Athletic 10.9
#23 Preston North End 10.8
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 8.6
League avg
12.6
Total
541 shots from 45 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#15/24
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Southampton 0.11
#2 Sheffield United 0.11
#3 Coventry City 0.11
#4 Hull City 0.11
#5 Preston North End 0.11
#6 Derby County 0.10
#7 Norwich City 0.10
#8 Millwall 0.10
#9 Blackburn Rovers 0.10
#10 Wrexham 0.10
#11 Stoke City 0.10
#12 Ipswich Town 0.10
#13 Sheffield Wednesday 0.10
#14 Bristol City 0.10
#15 Oxford United 0.10
#16 Birmingham City 0.10
#17 Charlton Athletic 0.09
#18 West Bromwich Albion 0.09
#19 Middlesbrough 0.09
#20 Portsmouth 0.09
#21 Queens Park Rangers 0.09
#22 Leicester City 0.09
#23 Swansea City 0.08
#24 Watford 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
51.91 npxG from 541 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.1 shots per match
#20/24
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Middlesbrough 10.2
#2 Ipswich Town 10.4
#3 West Bromwich Albion 10.6
#4 Birmingham City 10.7
#5 Portsmouth 11.5
#6 Coventry City 11.6
#7 Blackburn Rovers 11.7
#8 Watford 11.7
#9 Norwich City 11.8
#10 Queens Park Rangers 12.1
#11 Sheffield United 12.4
#12 Southampton 12.4
#13 Swansea City 12.5
#14 Derby County 12.7
#15 Millwall 12.7
#16 Stoke City 12.9
#17 Leicester City 12.9
#18 Bristol City 13.2
#19 Wrexham 13.7
#20 Oxford United 14.1
#21 Preston North End 14.7
#22 Hull City 14.7
#23 Charlton Athletic 15.6
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 15.6
League avg
12.6
Total
633 shots allowed from 45 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#5/24
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Middlesbrough 0.08
#2 Charlton Athletic 0.08
#3 Derby County 0.09
#4 Ipswich Town 0.09
#5 Oxford United 0.09
#6 Coventry City 0.09
#7 Swansea City 0.09
#8 West Bromwich Albion 0.09
#9 Watford 0.10
#10 Birmingham City 0.10
#11 Sheffield United 0.10
#12 Portsmouth 0.10
#13 Queens Park Rangers 0.10
#14 Preston North End 0.10
#15 Southampton 0.10
#16 Blackburn Rovers 0.10
#17 Millwall 0.10
#18 Wrexham 0.10
#19 Bristol City 0.10
#20 Stoke City 0.11
#21 Leicester City 0.11
#22 Hull City 0.11
#23 Norwich City 0.11
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
57.28 npxGA from 633 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 297 of 541 shots over 45 matches

Covers 45 of 46 matches with xG.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 413 of 633 shots allowed over 45 matches

Covers 45 of 46 matches with xG.

Where the npxG comes from

58% open play · 42% set pieces

League avg 29% set pieces

From 21.1 of 50.6 npxG over 46 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 29% set pieces

From 15.1 of 56.8 npxG allowed over 46 matches

Shot counts cover 45 of 46 matches.

How the shot figures are made →

Oxford United home and away xG

Oxford United per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 23 23
xG / match 1.28 0.98
xGA / match 1.10 1.44
xGD / match +0.19 -0.46
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.49 1.02

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Oxford United match by xG

Venue

This season

Matches
46
xG / match
1.13
xGA / match
1.27
xGD / match
-0.14
Points
47 of 138
  1. Sat 02/05 Millwall A xG 1.09 xGA 2.14 xGD -1.05
  2. Sat 25/04 Sheffield Wednesday H xG 2.28 xGA 0.97 xGD +1.31
  3. Tue 21/04 Wrexham H xG 0.80 xGA 1.28 xGD -0.48
  4. Sat 18/04 Derby County A xG 0.67 xGA 1.03 xGD -0.36
  5. Sat 11/04 Watford H xG 1.86 xGA 0.81 xGD +1.05
  6. Mon 06/04 Portsmouth A xG 1.35 xGA 0.93 xGD +0.42
  7. Fri 03/04 Hull City H Best underlying xG 3.44 P xGA 0.82 xGD +2.62
  8. Sat 21/03 Southampton A xG 1.07 xGA 2.15 xGD -1.08
  9. Sat 14/03 Charlton Athletic H xG 1.34 xGA 0.93 xGD +0.41
  10. Wed 11/03 Blackburn Rovers H xG 1.16 xGA 0.45 xGD +0.71
  11. Fri 06/03 Preston North End A xG 1.74 xGA 0.93 xGD +0.81
  12. Sat 28/02 West Bromwich Albion H xG 0.75 xGA 1.04 xGD -0.29
  13. Wed 25/02 Stoke City A xG 1.46 xGA 1.51 xGD -0.05
  14. Sat 21/02 Middlesbrough A xG 0.82 xGA 2.15 xGD -1.33
  15. Tue 10/02 Norwich City H xG 0.44 xGA 2.31 xGD -1.87
  16. Sat 07/02 Coventry City A xG 0.12 xGA 2.09 xGD -1.97
  17. Tue 03/02 Sheffield United A xG 1.06 xGA 1.00 xGD +0.06
  18. Sat 31/01 Birmingham City H xG 0.46 xGA 0.80 xGD -0.34
  19. Sat 24/01 Leicester City A xG 1.94 xGA 0.59 xGD +1.35
  20. Tue 20/01 Queens Park Rangers H xG 0.83 xGA 0.61 xGD +0.22
  21. Sat 17/01 Bristol City H xG 1.20 xGA 0.44 xGD +0.76
  22. Thu 01/01 Ipswich Town A xG 1.08 xGA 1.43 xGD -0.35
  23. Mon 29/12 Swansea City H xG 0.48 xGA 0.79 xGD -0.31
  24. Fri 26/12 Southampton H xG 0.91 xGA 1.44 xGD -0.53
  25. Sat 20/12 Charlton Athletic A xG 0.61 xGA 0.77 xGD -0.16
  26. Sat 13/12 Preston North End H xG 1.57 xGA 0.61 xGD +0.96
  27. Tue 09/12 Blackburn Rovers A Weakest underlying xG 0.29 xGA 2.28 P xGD -1.99
  28. Sat 06/12 Swansea City A xG 1.41 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.52
  29. Fri 28/11 Ipswich Town H xG 1.24 xGA 1.70 xGD -0.46
  30. Tue 25/11 Norwich City A xG 0.82 xGA 1.42 xGD -0.60
  31. Sat 22/11 Middlesbrough H xG 0.53 xGA 1.06 xGD -0.53
  32. Sat 08/11 West Bromwich Albion A xG 0.95 xGA 1.61 xGD -0.66
  33. Tue 04/11 Stoke City H xG 1.78 xGA 2.19 xGD -0.41
  34. Sat 01/11 Millwall H xG 0.63 xGA 2.42 xGD -1.79
  35. Sat 25/10 Sheffield Wednesday A xG 0.99 xGA 1.16 xGD -0.17
  36. Wed 22/10 Wrexham A xG 0.15 xGA 0.77 xGD -0.62
  37. Sat 18/10 Derby County H xG 2.17 xGA 0.25 xGD +1.92
  38. Sat 04/10 Watford A xG 1.38 xGA 2.65 xGD -1.27
  39. Wed 01/10 Queens Park Rangers A xG 0.37 xGA 0.80 xGD -0.43
  40. Sat 27/09 Sheffield United H xG 1.14 xGA 0.48 xGD +0.66
  41. Sun 21/09 Bristol City A xG 1.72 xGA 1.18 xGD +0.54
  42. Sat 13/09 Leicester City H xG 2.10 xGA 0.84 xGD +1.26
  43. Sat 30/08 Coventry City H xG 1.04 xGA 1.74 xGD -0.70
  44. Sat 23/08 Birmingham City A xG 0.38 xGA 1.65 xGD -1.27
  45. Sun 17/08 Hull City A xG 1.02 xGA 1.91 xGD -0.89
  46. Sat 09/08 Portsmouth H xG 1.37 xGA 1.21 xGD +0.16

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.44. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

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About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →