Millwall 0:2 Wrexham: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 1.76 xG · 21 shots

Wrexham Away 0.55 xG · 6 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

58' Kieffer Moore Wrexham · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
90' Lewis O'Brien Wrexham · 0.10 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Millwall Wrexham

Shots: 21; 6
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 14; 5
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.64; 0.53
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.96 for Millwall and 0.53 for Wrexham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.54 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Wrexham
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.36 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 2.09 created, 1.04 conceded against Norwich City
L 0.60 created, 0.99 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.40 created, 1.30 conceded against Sheffield United

Wrexham

1.73 xG created 3.06 xGA

L 1.88 created, 4.14 conceded against Southampton
L 2.01 created, 2.37 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
D 1.30 created, 2.67 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.