xgEdge

Saturday, 23/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Preston North End 1:0 Ipswich Town

Preston North End Home 0.84 xG · 2 shots
Ipswich Town Away 1.39 xG · 15 shots
10 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 11' Milutin Osmajić (pen.) Preston North End · 0.82 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Preston North End Ipswich Town
Shots
2
15
On target
1
2
Inside the box
2
4
xG per shot
0.44
0.09
Open play xG
0.05
0.81
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.57
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.05 for Preston North End and 1.39 for Ipswich Town.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Preston North End · Milutin Osmajić · 11' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 40' · No goal · 8 m · 0.44 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 63' · No goal · 4 m · 0.23 xG Ipswich Town · Jacob Greaves · 68' · No goal · 6 m · 0.17 xG Ipswich Town · Kasey McAteer · 71' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG Ipswich Town · Conor Chaplin · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Ipswich Town · Ben Johnson · 60' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Ipswich Town · Ben Johnson · 53' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Thierry Small · 72' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Clarke · 53' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Sammie Szmodics · 69' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Taylor · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Leif Davis · 9' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Ben Johnson · 21' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Jaden Philogene-Bidace · 1' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Azor Matusiwa · 49' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Jaden Philogene-Bidace · 63' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

17 shots · 2.25 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Preston North End
  • Ipswich Town
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Preston North End

1.66 xG created 0.93 xGA

  • D 0.84 created, 0.94 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 2.48 created, 0.92 conceded against Leicester City
Ipswich Town

1.48 xG created 1.07 xGA

  • D 1.31 created, 1.38 conceded against Birmingham City
  • D 1.64 created, 0.75 conceded against Southampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.