xgEdge

Expected goals

Ipswich Town expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Championship · after 46 matches · updated 21 Oct

Ipswich Town's attacking and defensive expected goals in Championship 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Ipswich Town xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.67 xG per match
#2/24
Attack (xG per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Coventry City 1.86
#2 Ipswich Town 1.67
#3 Southampton 1.66
#4 Sheffield United 1.56
#5 Middlesbrough 1.51
#6 Birmingham City 1.35
#7 Millwall 1.34
#8 Hull City 1.30
#9 Norwich City 1.29
#10 West Bromwich Albion 1.24
=11 Derby County 1.23
=11 Watford 1.23
#13 Bristol City 1.20
#14 Blackburn Rovers 1.20
#15 Preston North End 1.19
#16 Wrexham 1.19
#17 Leicester City 1.17
#18 Queens Park Rangers 1.17
#19 Oxford United 1.13
#20 Swansea City 1.10
#21 Portsmouth 1.10
#22 Stoke City 1.09
#23 Charlton Athletic 1.03
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 0.85
League avg
1.28
Total
76.72 46 matches
Defence
1.00 xGA per match
#2/24
Defence (xGA per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Middlesbrough 0.92
#2 Ipswich Town 1.00
#3 West Bromwich Albion 1.02
#4 Birmingham City 1.05
#5 Coventry City 1.10
#6 Watford 1.16
#7 Portsmouth 1.18
#8 Blackburn Rovers 1.19
#9 Derby County 1.19
#10 Swansea City 1.21
#11 Millwall 1.24
#12 Queens Park Rangers 1.24
#13 Sheffield United 1.25
#14 Southampton 1.26
#15 Oxford United 1.27
#16 Wrexham 1.35
#17 Charlton Athletic 1.35
#18 Norwich City 1.37
#19 Stoke City 1.38
#20 Bristol City 1.38
#21 Leicester City 1.42
#22 Preston North End 1.51
#23 Hull City 1.71
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 1.92
League avg
1.28
Total
46.16 46 matches
xG difference
+0.66 xGD per match
#2/24
xG difference (xGD per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Coventry City +0.76
#2 Ipswich Town +0.66
#3 Middlesbrough +0.59
#4 Southampton +0.40
#5 Sheffield United +0.32
#6 Birmingham City +0.30
#7 West Bromwich Albion +0.22
#8 Millwall +0.11
#9 Watford +0.07
#10 Derby County +0.03
#11 Blackburn Rovers +0.00
#12 Queens Park Rangers -0.07
#13 Norwich City -0.08
#14 Portsmouth -0.08
#15 Swansea City -0.11
#16 Oxford United -0.14
#17 Wrexham -0.16
#18 Bristol City -0.18
#19 Leicester City -0.24
#20 Stoke City -0.29
#21 Preston North End -0.32
#22 Charlton Athletic -0.33
#23 Hull City -0.41
#24 Sheffield Wednesday -1.07
League avg
0.00
Total
+30.56 46 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.88 xPts per match
#1/24
Expected points (xPts per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Ipswich Town 1.88
#2 Coventry City 1.80
#3 Middlesbrough 1.77
#4 Southampton 1.61
#5 Sheffield United 1.56
#6 Birmingham City 1.56
#7 West Bromwich Albion 1.53
#8 Millwall 1.46
#9 Watford 1.42
#10 Derby County 1.39
#11 Norwich City 1.37
#12 Blackburn Rovers 1.36
#13 Portsmouth 1.34
#14 Queens Park Rangers 1.33
#15 Wrexham 1.29
#16 Swansea City 1.28
#17 Oxford United 1.25
#18 Bristol City 1.23
#19 Charlton Athletic 1.19
#20 Leicester City 1.18
#21 Stoke City 1.18
#22 Preston North End 1.16
#23 Hull City 1.16
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 0.66
League avg
1.37
Total
86.26 vs 84 actual pts

What the xG says

Ipswich Town's underlying numbers are among the best in Championship. They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.66 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 80 goals are 3.28 above 76.72 xG, while 84 points are 2.26 below 86.26 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 8.39 xG from penalties
80 76.72 +3.28 scored 3.28 more than xG within normal variance
47 46.16 +0.84 conceded 0.84 more than xGA within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Ipswich Town are 3.28 goals above their xG after 46 matches. The gap was widest at +5.80, against Stoke City on Tue 10/03.

Goals
80
xG
76.72
Gap
+3.28
Fri 08/08 Sun 17/08 Sat 23/08 Sat 30/08 Fri 12/09 Sat 27/09 Tue 30/09 Sun 05/10 Fri 17/10 Tue 21/10 Sat 25/10 Sat 01/11 Tue 04/11 Sat 08/11 Sat 22/11 Tue 25/11 Fri 28/11 Tue 02/12 Sat 06/12 Wed 10/12 Sat 13/12 Sat 20/12 Fri 26/12 Mon 29/12 Thu 01/01 Sat 17/01 Tue 20/01 Sat 24/01 Sat 31/01 Sat 07/02 Sat 21/02 Tue 24/02 Sat 28/02 Tue 03/03 Sat 07/03 Tue 10/03 Sat 14/03 Sat 21/03 Mon 06/04 Sat 11/04 Tue 14/04 Sun 19/04 Wed 22/04 Sat 25/04 Tue 28/04 Sat 02/05 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 -0.31 -0.95 -2.34 -3.25 -0.58 -0.11 -0.49 +0.71 -0.26 -2.57 -3.79 -0.82 -1.25 +1.38 -0.31 -0.63 -1.33 -0.84 +0.71 +0.78 +0.50 +0.58 -0.23 +0.63 +1.20 +1.34 +2.26 +1.28 +0.05 +0.78 +2.97 +3.85 +5.67 +5.13 +4.28 +5.80 +5.46 +5.08 +5.30 +5.33 +4.26 +3.67 +3.80 +2.73 +2.81 +3.28 -0.31 -0.64 -1.39 -0.91 +2.67 +0.47 -0.38 +1.20 -0.97 -2.31 -1.22 +2.97 -0.43 +2.63 -1.69 -0.32 -0.70 +0.49 +1.55 +0.07 -0.28 +0.08 -0.81 +0.86 +0.57 +0.14 +0.92 -0.98 -1.23 +0.73 +2.19 +0.88 +1.82 -0.54 -0.85 +1.52 -0.34 -0.38 +0.22 +0.03 -1.07 -0.59 +0.13 -1.07 +0.08 +0.47 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Ipswich Town: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 08/08 Birmingham City 1 1.31 -0.31 -0.31
Sun 17/08 Southampton 1 1.64 -0.64 -0.95
Sat 23/08 Preston North End 0 1.39 -1.39 -2.34
Sat 30/08 Derby County 2 2.91 -0.91 -3.25
Fri 12/09 Sheffield United 5 2.33 +2.67 -0.58
Sat 27/09 Portsmouth 2 1.53 +0.47 -0.11
Tue 30/09 Bristol City 1 1.38 -0.38 -0.49
Sun 05/10 Norwich City 3 1.80 +1.20 +0.71
Fri 17/10 Middlesbrough 1 1.97 -0.97 -0.26
Tue 21/10 Charlton Athletic 0 2.31 -2.31 -2.57
Sat 25/10 West Bromwich Albion 1 2.22 -1.22 -3.79
Sat 01/11 Queens Park Rangers 4 1.03 +2.97 -0.82
Tue 04/11 Watford 1 1.43 -0.43 -1.25
Sat 08/11 Swansea City 4 1.37 +2.63 +1.38
Sat 22/11 Wrexham 0 1.69 -1.69 -0.31
Tue 25/11 Hull City 2 2.32 -0.32 -0.63
Fri 28/11 Oxford United 1 1.70 -0.70 -1.33
Tue 02/12 Blackburn Rovers 1 0.51 +0.49 -0.84
Sat 06/12 Coventry City 3 1.45 +1.55 +0.71
Wed 10/12 Stoke City 1 0.93 +0.07 +0.78
Sat 13/12 Leicester City 1 1.28 -0.28 +0.50
Sat 20/12 Sheffield Wednesday 3 2.92 +0.08 +0.58
Fri 26/12 Millwall 0 0.81 -0.81 -0.23
Mon 29/12 Coventry City 2 1.14 +0.86 +0.63
Thu 01/01 Oxford United 2 1.43 +0.57 +1.20
Sat 17/01 Blackburn Rovers 3 2.86 +0.14 +1.34
Tue 20/01 Bristol City 2 1.08 +0.92 +2.26
Sat 24/01 Sheffield United 1 1.98 -0.98 +1.28
Sat 31/01 Preston North End 1 2.23 -1.23 +0.05
Sat 07/02 Derby County 2 1.27 +0.73 +0.78
Sat 21/02 Wrexham 3 0.81 +2.19 +2.97
Tue 24/02 Watford 2 1.12 +0.88 +3.85
Sat 28/02 Swansea City 3 1.18 +1.82 +5.67
Tue 03/03 Hull City 1 1.54 -0.54 +5.13
Sat 07/03 Leicester City 1 1.85 -0.85 +4.28
Tue 10/03 Stoke City 3 1.48 +1.52 +5.80
Sat 14/03 Sheffield Wednesday 2 2.34 -0.34 +5.46
Sat 21/03 Millwall 1 1.38 -0.38 +5.08
Mon 06/04 Birmingham City 2 1.78 +0.22 +5.30
Sat 11/04 Norwich City 2 1.97 +0.03 +5.33
Tue 14/04 Portsmouth 0 1.07 -1.07 +4.26
Sun 19/04 Middlesbrough 2 2.59 -0.59 +3.67
Wed 22/04 Charlton Athletic 2 1.87 +0.13 +3.80
Sat 25/04 West Bromwich Albion 0 1.07 -1.07 +2.73
Tue 28/04 Southampton 2 1.92 +0.08 +2.81
Sat 02/05 Queens Park Rangers 3 2.53 +0.47 +3.28

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Ipswich Town xG trend

Current form +0.08 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 34 of 46 matches. The worst was against Middlesbrough on Sun 19/04 (-1.53).

npxG · last 6
1.38
npxGA · last 6
1.30
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.71 Fri 08/08 +0.89 Sun 17/08 +1.34 Sat 23/08 +1.42 Sat 30/08 +1.93 Fri 12/09 +0.64 Sat 27/09 -0.97 Tue 30/09 +1.40 Sun 05/10 -1.02 Fri 17/10 +1.05 Tue 21/10 +1.95 Sat 25/10 -0.54 Sat 01/11 +1.08 Tue 04/11 +0.71 Sat 08/11 +1.64 Sat 22/11 +1.85 Tue 25/11 +0.45 Fri 28/11 -0.85 Tue 02/12 +0.82 Sat 06/12 +0.60 Wed 10/12 +0.23 Sat 13/12 +2.10 Sat 20/12 +0.44 Fri 26/12 +0.42 Mon 29/12 +0.35 Thu 01/01 +2.13 Sat 17/01 +0.36 Tue 20/01 -0.44 Sat 24/01 +0.43 Sat 31/01 +0.93 Sat 07/02 -1.28 Sat 21/02 +0.23 Tue 24/02 +0.82 Sat 28/02 +1.52 Tue 03/03 +1.67 Sat 07/03 -1.39 Tue 10/03 +1.18 Sat 14/03 -0.49 Sat 21/03 +1.36 Mon 06/04 +0.50 Sat 11/04 -1.03 Tue 14/04 -1.53 Sun 19/04 +0.74 Wed 22/04 -0.08 Sat 25/04 +0.92 Tue 28/04 +1.45 Sat 02/05 +0.55 season avg
Ipswich Town: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 08/08 Birmingham City 0.47 1.18 -0.71 -0.71
Sun 17/08 Southampton 1.64 0.75 +0.89 +0.09
Sat 23/08 Preston North End 1.39 0.05 +1.34 +0.51
Sat 30/08 Derby County 2.12 0.70 +1.42 +0.74
Fri 12/09 Sheffield United 2.33 0.40 +1.93 +0.97
Sat 27/09 Portsmouth 1.53 0.89 +0.64 +0.92
Tue 30/09 Bristol City 0.51 1.48 -0.97 +0.65
Sun 05/10 Norwich City 1.88 0.48 +1.40 +0.74
Fri 17/10 Middlesbrough 1.36 2.38 -1.02 +0.55
Tue 21/10 Charlton Athletic 2.08 1.03 +1.05 +0.60
Sat 25/10 West Bromwich Albion 2.34 0.39 +1.95 +0.72
Sat 01/11 Queens Park Rangers 1.04 1.58 -0.54 +0.61
Tue 04/11 Watford 1.43 0.35 +1.08 +0.65
Sat 08/11 Swansea City 1.39 0.68 +0.71 +0.66
Sat 22/11 Wrexham 1.69 0.05 +1.64 +0.72
Tue 25/11 Hull City 2.35 0.50 +1.85 +0.79
Fri 28/11 Oxford United 1.70 1.25 +0.45 +0.77
Tue 02/12 Blackburn Rovers 0.51 1.36 -0.85 +0.68
Sat 06/12 Coventry City 1.49 0.67 +0.82 +0.69
Wed 10/12 Stoke City 0.93 0.33 +0.60 +0.68
Sat 13/12 Leicester City 1.28 1.05 +0.23 +0.66
Sat 20/12 Sheffield Wednesday 2.94 0.84 +2.10 +0.73
Fri 26/12 Millwall 0.81 0.37 +0.44 +0.72
Mon 29/12 Coventry City 1.14 0.72 +0.42 +0.70
Thu 01/01 Oxford United 1.43 1.08 +0.35 +0.69
Sat 17/01 Blackburn Rovers 3.02 0.89 +2.13 +0.74
Tue 20/01 Bristol City 1.08 0.72 +0.36 +0.73
Sat 24/01 Sheffield United 1.19 1.63 -0.44 +0.69
Sat 31/01 Preston North End 1.49 1.06 +0.43 +0.68
Sat 07/02 Derby County 1.27 0.34 +0.93 +0.69
Sat 21/02 Wrexham 0.81 2.09 -1.28 +0.62
Tue 24/02 Watford 1.13 0.90 +0.23 +0.61
Sat 28/02 Swansea City 1.18 0.36 +0.82 +0.62
Tue 03/03 Hull City 1.79 0.27 +1.52 +0.64
Sat 07/03 Leicester City 1.85 0.18 +1.67 +0.67
Tue 10/03 Stoke City 1.48 2.87 -1.39 +0.62
Sat 14/03 Sheffield Wednesday 1.56 0.38 +1.18 +0.63
Sat 21/03 Millwall 1.38 1.87 -0.49 +0.60
Mon 06/04 Birmingham City 1.78 0.42 +1.36 +0.62
Sat 11/04 Norwich City 1.25 0.75 +0.50 +0.62
Tue 14/04 Portsmouth 0.78 1.81 -1.03 +0.58
Sun 19/04 Middlesbrough 1.24 2.77 -1.53 +0.53
Wed 22/04 Charlton Athletic 1.08 0.34 +0.74 +0.53
Sat 25/04 West Bromwich Albion 1.17 1.25 -0.08 +0.52
Tue 28/04 Southampton 1.93 1.01 +0.92 +0.53
Sat 02/05 Queens Park Rangers 2.09 0.64 +1.45 +0.55

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.49 npxG and 0.94 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 18 hardest of 24 in Championship
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 46 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 24 in Championship
+0.16 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 46 matches · tied number 18 hardest of 24

  1. Queens Park Rangers Home −0.05
  2. Southampton Away +0.26
  3. West Bromwich Albion Away +0.17
  4. Charlton Athletic Away −0.30
  5. Middlesbrough Home +0.72
  6. Portsmouth Away +0.14
  7. Norwich City Away +0.27
  8. Birmingham City Home +0.10
  9. Millwall Home +0.09
  10. Sheffield Wednesday Away −0.74
  11. Stoke City Away −0.32
  12. Leicester City Home +0.05
  13. Hull City Home −0.24
  14. Swansea City Home +0.02
  15. Watford Away −0.03
  16. Wrexham Away +0.01
  17. Derby County Away +0.11
  18. Preston North End Home −0.30
  19. Sheffield United Away +0.04
  20. Bristol City Home −0.28
  21. Blackburn Rovers Home −0.18
  22. Oxford United Home −0.10
  23. Coventry City Away +0.35
  24. Millwall Away +0.09
  25. Sheffield Wednesday Home −0.74
  26. Leicester City Away +0.05
  27. Stoke City Home −0.32
  28. Coventry City Home +0.35
  29. Blackburn Rovers Away −0.18
  30. Oxford United Away −0.10
  31. Hull City Away −0.24
  32. Wrexham Home +0.01
  33. Swansea City Away +0.02
  34. Watford Home −0.03
  35. Queens Park Rangers Away −0.05
  36. West Bromwich Albion Home +0.17
  37. Charlton Athletic Home −0.30
  38. Middlesbrough Away +0.72
  39. Norwich City Home +0.27
  40. Bristol City Away −0.28
  41. Portsmouth Home +0.14
  42. Sheffield United Home +0.04
  43. Derby County Home +0.11
  44. Preston North End Away −0.30
  45. Southampton Home +0.26
  46. Birmingham City Away +0.10

Last 5

+0.16 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 24

  1. Queens Park Rangers Home −0.05
  2. Southampton Away +0.26
  3. West Bromwich Albion Away +0.17
  4. Charlton Athletic Away −0.30
  5. Middlesbrough Home +0.72

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Ipswich Town shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Ipswich Town take 14.7 shots a match (league 12.6) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #3 in Championship for volume and #12 for quality. 67% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%), and set pieces produce 28% of their npxG (league 29%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.7 shots per match
#3/24
Shot volume (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Coventry City 16.2
#2 Middlesbrough 16.1
#3 Ipswich Town 14.7
#4 Southampton 14.5
#5 Watford 13.9
#6 Birmingham City 13.7
#7 Sheffield United 13.5
#8 West Bromwich Albion 13.4
#9 Millwall 12.9
#10 Leicester City 12.7
#11 Queens Park Rangers 12.7
#12 Norwich City 12.5
#13 Swansea City 12.4
#14 Bristol City 12.2
#15 Portsmouth 12.1
#16 Oxford United 12.0
#17 Blackburn Rovers 11.5
#18 Wrexham 11.3
#19 Stoke City 11.3
#20 Hull City 11.2
#21 Derby County 11.0
#22 Charlton Athletic 10.9
#23 Preston North End 10.8
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 8.6
League avg
12.6
Total
663 shots from 45 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#12/24
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Southampton 0.11
#2 Sheffield United 0.11
#3 Coventry City 0.11
#4 Hull City 0.11
#5 Preston North End 0.11
#6 Derby County 0.10
#7 Norwich City 0.10
#8 Millwall 0.10
#9 Blackburn Rovers 0.10
#10 Wrexham 0.10
#11 Stoke City 0.10
#12 Ipswich Town 0.10
#13 Sheffield Wednesday 0.10
#14 Bristol City 0.10
#15 Oxford United 0.10
#16 Birmingham City 0.10
#17 Charlton Athletic 0.09
#18 West Bromwich Albion 0.09
#19 Middlesbrough 0.09
#20 Portsmouth 0.09
#21 Queens Park Rangers 0.09
#22 Leicester City 0.09
#23 Swansea City 0.08
#24 Watford 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
66.25 npxG from 663 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.4 shots per match
#2/24
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Middlesbrough 10.2
#2 Ipswich Town 10.4
#3 West Bromwich Albion 10.6
#4 Birmingham City 10.7
#5 Portsmouth 11.5
#6 Coventry City 11.6
#7 Blackburn Rovers 11.7
#8 Watford 11.7
#9 Norwich City 11.8
#10 Queens Park Rangers 12.1
#11 Sheffield United 12.4
#12 Southampton 12.4
#13 Swansea City 12.5
#14 Derby County 12.7
#15 Millwall 12.7
#16 Stoke City 12.9
#17 Leicester City 12.9
#18 Bristol City 13.2
#19 Wrexham 13.7
#20 Oxford United 14.1
#21 Preston North End 14.7
#22 Hull City 14.7
#23 Charlton Athletic 15.6
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 15.6
League avg
12.6
Total
470 shots allowed from 45 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#4/24
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Middlesbrough 0.08
#2 Charlton Athletic 0.08
#3 Derby County 0.09
#4 Ipswich Town 0.09
#5 Oxford United 0.09
#6 Coventry City 0.09
#7 Swansea City 0.09
#8 West Bromwich Albion 0.09
#9 Watford 0.10
#10 Birmingham City 0.10
#11 Sheffield United 0.10
#12 Portsmouth 0.10
#13 Queens Park Rangers 0.10
#14 Preston North End 0.10
#15 Southampton 0.10
#16 Blackburn Rovers 0.10
#17 Millwall 0.10
#18 Wrexham 0.10
#19 Bristol City 0.10
#20 Stoke City 0.11
#21 Leicester City 0.11
#22 Hull City 0.11
#23 Norwich City 0.11
#24 Sheffield Wednesday 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
42.08 npxGA from 470 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

67% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 447 of 663 shots over 45 matches

Covers 45 of 46 matches with xG.

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 277 of 470 shots allowed over 45 matches

Covers 45 of 46 matches with xG.

Where the npxG comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 29% set pieces

From 19.0 of 68.7 npxG over 46 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 29% set pieces

From 10.6 of 42.8 npxG allowed over 46 matches

Shot counts cover 45 of 46 matches.

How the shot figures are made →

Ipswich Town home and away xG

Ipswich Town per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 23 23
xG / match 1.90 1.44
xGA / match 0.78 1.23
xGD / match +1.12 +0.21
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.20 1.55

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Ipswich Town match by xG

Venue

This season

Matches
46
xG / match
1.67
xGA / match
1.00
xGD / match
+0.66
Points
84 of 138
  1. Sat 02/05 Queens Park Rangers H xG 2.53 xGA 0.84 xGD +1.69
  2. Tue 28/04 Southampton A xG 1.92 xGA 1.01 xGD +0.91
  3. Sat 25/04 West Bromwich Albion A xG 1.07 xGA 1.30 xGD -0.23
  4. Wed 22/04 Charlton Athletic A xG 1.87 P xGA 0.33 xGD +1.54
  5. Sun 19/04 Middlesbrough H xG 2.59 P xGA 2.70 xGD -0.11
  6. Tue 14/04 Portsmouth A xG 1.07 xGA 1.78 xGD -0.71
  7. Sat 11/04 Norwich City A xG 1.97 P xGA 0.87 xGD +1.10
  8. Mon 06/04 Birmingham City H xG 1.78 xGA 0.41 xGD +1.37
  9. Sat 21/03 Millwall H xG 1.38 xGA 1.67 xGD -0.29
  10. Sat 14/03 Sheffield Wednesday A xG 2.34 P xGA 0.38 xGD +1.96
  11. Tue 10/03 Stoke City A Weakest underlying xG 1.48 xGA 3.43 P xGD -1.95
  12. Sat 07/03 Leicester City H xG 1.85 xGA 0.18 xGD +1.67
  13. Tue 03/03 Hull City H xG 1.54 xGA 0.27 xGD +1.27
  14. Sat 28/02 Swansea City H xG 1.18 xGA 0.36 xGD +0.82
  15. Tue 24/02 Watford A xG 1.12 xGA 1.68 P xGD -0.56
  16. Sat 21/02 Wrexham A xG 0.81 xGA 2.09 xGD -1.28
  17. Sat 07/02 Derby County A xG 1.27 xGA 1.03 P xGD +0.24
  18. Sat 31/01 Preston North End H xG 2.23 P xGA 1.06 xGD +1.17
  19. Sat 24/01 Sheffield United A xG 1.98 P xGA 1.63 xGD +0.35
  20. Tue 20/01 Bristol City H xG 1.08 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.41
  21. Sat 17/01 Blackburn Rovers H Best underlying xG 2.86 xGA 0.66 xGD +2.20
  22. Thu 01/01 Oxford United H xG 1.43 xGA 1.08 xGD +0.35
  23. Mon 29/12 Coventry City A xG 1.14 xGA 0.80 xGD +0.34
  24. Fri 26/12 Millwall A xG 0.81 xGA 0.36 xGD +0.45
  25. Sat 20/12 Sheffield Wednesday H xG 2.92 xGA 0.80 xGD +2.12
  26. Sat 13/12 Leicester City A xG 1.28 xGA 0.97 xGD +0.31
  27. Wed 10/12 Stoke City H xG 0.93 xGA 0.33 xGD +0.60
  28. Sat 06/12 Coventry City H xG 1.45 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.78
  29. Tue 02/12 Blackburn Rovers A xG 0.51 xGA 1.40 xGD -0.89
  30. Fri 28/11 Oxford United A xG 1.70 xGA 1.24 xGD +0.46
  31. Tue 25/11 Hull City A xG 2.32 xGA 0.50 xGD +1.82
  32. Sat 22/11 Wrexham H xG 1.69 xGA 0.04 xGD +1.65
  33. Sat 08/11 Swansea City A xG 1.37 xGA 0.43 xGD +0.94
  34. Tue 04/11 Watford H xG 1.43 xGA 0.35 xGD +1.08
  35. Sat 01/11 Queens Park Rangers A xG 1.03 xGA 1.56 xGD -0.53
  36. Sat 25/10 West Bromwich Albion H xG 2.22 xGA 0.39 xGD +1.83
  37. Tue 21/10 Charlton Athletic H xG 2.31 xGA 1.43 xGD +0.88
  38. Fri 17/10 Middlesbrough A xG 1.97 P xGA 1.86 xGD +0.11
  39. Sun 05/10 Norwich City H xG 1.80 xGA 0.46 xGD +1.34
  40. Tue 30/09 Bristol City A xG 1.38 P xGA 1.38 xGD +0.00
  41. Sat 27/09 Portsmouth H xG 1.53 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.64
  42. Fri 12/09 Sheffield United H xG 2.33 xGA 0.42 xGD +1.91
  43. Sat 30/08 Derby County H xG 2.91 P xGA 1.48 P xGD +1.43
  44. Sat 23/08 Preston North End A xG 1.39 xGA 0.84 P xGD +0.55
  45. Sun 17/08 Southampton H xG 1.64 xGA 0.75 xGD +0.89
  46. Fri 08/08 Birmingham City A xG 1.31 P xGA 1.38 xGD -0.07

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.43. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

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About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →