Preston North End 2:2 Middlesbrough: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 0.75 xG · 7 shots

Middlesbrough Away 1.52 xG · 14 shots

22 Middlesbrough had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

22' Lewis Dobbin Preston North End · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
72' Matt Targett Middlesbrough · 0.19 xG chance 1–1
88' Jordan Storey Preston North End · 0.11 xG chance 2–1
90' Sontje Hansen Middlesbrough · 0.07 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Preston North End Middlesbrough

Shots: 7; 14
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 5; 9
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.54; 1.06
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.48
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.75 for Preston North End and 1.52 for Middlesbrough.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.30 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Middlesbrough
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

1.29 xG created 1.21 xGA

D 0.84 created, 0.94 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 2.48 created, 0.92 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.84 created, 1.39 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 1.01 created, 1.58 conceded against Portsmouth

Middlesbrough

0.99 xG created 0.58 xGA

W 0.35 created, 0.10 conceded against Swansea City
W 0.99 created, 0.60 conceded against Millwall
W 1.51 created, 1.18 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.09 created, 0.44 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.