xgEdge

Expected goals

ALS Omonia expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Cypriot First Division · after 3 matches · updated 1 Oct

ALS Omonia's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

ALS Omonia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.52 xG per match
#7/14
Attack (xG per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.15
#2 Pafos FC 1.97
#3 AEK Larnaca 1.93
#4 Aris Limassol 1.71
#5 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.69
#6 Omonia Aradippou 1.61
#7 ALS Omonia 1.52
#8 APOEL Nicosia 1.47
#9 AEL Limassol 1.46
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.36
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 1.34
#12 Karmiotissa Polemidion 1.31
#13 Apollon Limassol 1.18
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.14
League avg
1.55
Total
4.56 3 matches
Defence
2.15 xGA per match
#13/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.68
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.88
#3 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.04
#4 Aris Limassol 1.25
#5 AEL Limassol 1.42
=6 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.52
=6 Apollon Limassol 1.52
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.55
#9 Pafos FC 1.55
#10 AEK Larnaca 1.56
#11 Omonia Aradippou 1.96
#12 Nea Salamina Famagusta 2.04
#13 ALS Omonia 2.15
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 2.43
League avg
1.55
Total
6.44 3 matches
xG difference
-0.63 xGD per match
#12/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia +1.27
#2 APOEL Nicosia +0.80
#3 Aris Limassol +0.46
#4 Pafos FC +0.42
#5 AEK Larnaca +0.37
#6 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC +0.32
#7 Olympiakos Nicosia +0.17
#8 AEL Limassol +0.04
#9 Apollon Limassol -0.34
#10 Omonia Aradippou -0.36
#11 Anorthosis Famagusta -0.41
#12 ALS Omonia -0.63
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta -0.69
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion -1.13
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.88 3 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.01 xPts per match
#12/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.26
#2 APOEL Nicosia 1.97
#3 Aris Limassol 1.73
#4 Pafos FC 1.65
#5 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.62
#6 AEK Larnaca 1.53
#7 AEL Limassol 1.51
#8 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.48
#9 Omonia Aradippou 1.16
#10 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.09
#11 Apollon Limassol 1.04
#12 ALS Omonia 1.01
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.97
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.65
League avg
1.39
Total
3.04 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 3 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 3 of 4 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

ALS Omonia's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Cypriot First Division. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.63 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than about average shot volume. After only 3 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
6 4.56 +1.44 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 6.44 -2.44 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 3.04 +0.96 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

ALS Omonia are 1.44 goals above their xG after 3 matches. The gap was widest at +2.13, against Enosis Neon Ypsona FC on Fri 28/08.

Goals
6
xG
4.56
Gap
+1.44
Fri 28/08 Fri 04/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.13 +1.86 +1.44 +2.13 -0.27 -0.42 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
ALS Omonia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 28/08 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 3 0.87 +2.13 +2.13
Fri 04/09 Karmiotissa Polemidion 2 2.27 -0.27 +1.86
Fri 18/09 AEK Larnaca 1 1.42 -0.42 +1.44

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

ALS Omonia xG trend

Current form -0.62 npxGD per match

All 3 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches. The worst was against AEK Larnaca on Fri 18/09 (-1.78).

npxG · last 3
1.52
npxGA · last 3
2.15
-2 -1 0 +1 -0.91 Fri 28/08 +0.82 Fri 04/09 -1.78 Fri 18/09 -0.62 season avg
ALS Omonia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 28/08 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.87 1.78 -0.91 -0.91
Fri 04/09 Karmiotissa Polemidion 2.27 1.45 +0.82 -0.04
Fri 18/09 AEK Larnaca 1.43 3.21 -1.78 -0.62

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.52 npxG and 2.15 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 14 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 4 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.19 xG vs league average · over 4 matches · number 14 hardest of 14

  1. AEK Larnaca Home +0.11
  2. Olympiakos Nicosia Away −0.15
  3. Karmiotissa Polemidion Home −0.48
  4. Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.24

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

ALS Omonia shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. ALS Omonia take 11.3 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.11), =8 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #2 for quality. 53% of their shots come from inside the box (league 57%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.3 shots per match
=8/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 18.0
#2 Pafos FC 17.5
=3 APOEL Nicosia 12.8
=3 Aris Limassol 12.8
#5 AEK Larnaca 12.0
=6 AEL Limassol 11.8
=6 Omonia Aradippou 11.8
=8 ALS Omonia 11.3
=8 Olympiakos Nicosia 11.3
#10 Nea Salamina Famagusta 10.5
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 10.3
#12 Anorthosis Famagusta 10.0
#13 Karmiotissa Polemidion 9.8
#14 Apollon Limassol 8.8
League avg
12.0
Total
34 shots from 3 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#2/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AEK Larnaca 0.16
#2 ALS Omonia 0.13
#3 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.13
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.13
#5 Omonia Nicosia 0.12
#6 Apollon Limassol 0.11
#7 Pafos FC 0.11
#8 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.11
#9 AEL Limassol 0.11
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.11
#11 Omonia Aradippou 0.10
#12 Aris Limassol 0.10
#13 APOEL Nicosia 0.09
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
4.57 npxG from 34 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.3 shots per match
#12/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 7.0
=2 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 8.0
=2 Omonia Nicosia 8.0
#4 Aris Limassol 9.0
#5 AEL Limassol 10.8
#6 Anorthosis Famagusta 11.3
#7 Pafos FC 11.8
#8 Apollon Limassol 12.3
#9 AEK Larnaca 13.0
#10 Omonia Aradippou 13.8
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 14.0
#12 ALS Omonia 14.3
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia 15.0
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 19.0
League avg
12.0
Total
43 shots allowed from 3 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.15 npxGA per shot
#14/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.07
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.08
#3 Apollon Limassol 0.08
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.08
#5 AEL Limassol 0.10
#6 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.12
#7 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.12
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.12
#9 AEK Larnaca 0.12
#10 Omonia Aradippou 0.13
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.13
#12 Pafos FC 0.13
#13 Aris Limassol 0.14
#14 ALS Omonia 0.15
League avg
0.11
Total
6.44 npxGA from 43 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

53% inside the box

League avg 57%

From 18 of 34 shots over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

79% allowed inside the box

League avg 57%

From 34 of 43 shots allowed over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

ALS Omonia home and away xG

ALS Omonia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 2 2 1 with xG
xG / match 1.85 0.87
xGA / match 2.33 1.78
xGD / match -0.49 -0.91
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.19 0.66

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every ALS Omonia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
4 3 with xG
xG / match
1.52
xGA / match
2.15
xGD / match
-0.63
Points
5 of 12
  1. Fri 18/09 AEK Larnaca H xG 1.42 xGA 3.21 xGD -1.79
  2. Sun 13/09 Olympiakos Nicosia A
  3. Fri 04/09 Karmiotissa Polemidion H xG 2.27 xGA 1.45 xGD +0.82
  4. Fri 28/08 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC A xG 0.87 xGA 1.78 xGD -0.91

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

ALS Omonia in Cypriot First Division

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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